News

Citi Research Forecast: Citi Research predicts a shift in investor portfolios between 'value' and 'growth' in China's consumption sector, emphasizing a cautious outlook on immediate government consumption stimulation in a low-inflation environment.
Top Stock Picks: In the consumer discretionary sector, Citi's top picks include ANTA SPORTS, POP MART, HAIDILAO, Atour Lifestyle, and MIDEA GROUP, while in consumer staples, they favor CHINA RES BEER, EASTROC BEVERAGE, and MAO GEPING.
Potential Outperformance: If China's consumption recovery surpasses expectations, stocks like LI NING, CTG DUTY-FREE, and HAITIAN FLAV are anticipated to outperform the market.
Short Selling Data: The report includes short selling data for various stocks, indicating market sentiment and potential risks associated with these investments.

Stock Performance: Several stocks experienced declines, with CATL dropping 3.44% and BABA-W down 1.57%, while some stocks like WUXI APPTEC and Luckin Coffee saw gains.
Short Selling Activity: High short selling ratios were noted for multiple companies, including NETEASE MUSIC at 32.83% and SHENZHOU INTL at 34.31%, indicating significant bearish sentiment.
Market Predictions: Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley provided forecasts, predicting weak construction activity in China's housing market and potential upside for metal stocks driven by ESS demand.
Overall Market Trends: The overall market showed mixed results, with some stocks facing pressure while others managed to gain, reflecting a volatile trading environment.

Market Growth Outlook: China's consumption market is projected to maintain moderate growth through 2026, driven by rationalized consumption and structural differentiation in demand levels.
Investment Strategies: Investors are advised to balance aggressive and defensive strategies, focusing on stable cash flow segments while also exploring high-growth opportunities in the consumption sector.
Key Company Categories: Attention should be given to companies that can improve efficiency and profit elasticity, niche leaders with strong market insights, and industry leaders with robust growth foundations.
Highlighted Companies: Notable companies include SHENZHOU INTL, YILI, POP MART, MNSO, ANTA SPORTS, and CHINA RES BEER, each positioned to benefit from current market trends and demand dynamics.

China's Economic Transition: Under the "15th Five-Year Plan," China is shifting towards an AI and high-tech manufacturing era, focusing on private enterprise and presenting significant growth opportunities, as highlighted by a Jefferies research report.
Investment Themes for 2026: Jefferies identified five key investment themes for 2026, including high-growth technology stocks, companies with upwardly revised earnings forecasts, and those with sustainable yields and buyback programs.
Recommended Stocks: The report suggests various Hong Kong-listed companies for investment, such as TENCENT, ICBC, and WUXI APPTEC, based on their growth potential and financial metrics.
Focus on A-Shares and ROIC: Attention is also directed towards A-shares that may list in Hong Kong and stocks with high Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), while advising against those whose ROIC has peaked.

Daiwa's Meeting with CHINA RES BEER: Daiwa met with CHINA RES BEER's management at the Daiwa Investment Conference in Hong Kong, where they discussed the company's strategies to adapt to changing consumer preferences, particularly among young Chinese consumers.
New Product Development: The management highlighted their focus on new channels like instant retail and the introduction of innovative flavors, such as fruity and tea-flavored beers, to attract a younger demographic.
Revised Financial Forecasts: Daiwa has lowered its core EPS forecasts for CHINA RES BEER for 2025-2027 by 4% due to anticipated slowdowns in average selling price and profit margin growth.
Investment Rating Update: Despite the forecast adjustments, Daiwa maintained a "Buy" rating for CHINA RES BEER but reduced its target price from $38 to $36, based on a target PE ratio of 18x for 2026.
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