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Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 363 points (1.4%) to close at 26,710, with significant gains also seen in the HSTI and HSCEI, while market turnover reached $291.76 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Notable stock movements included PING AN (+5%), HKEX (+2.9%), and TENCENT (+1.3%), while XIAOMI and BABA saw declines of 1.5% and 1.3%, respectively.
Top Gainers: Among HSI and HSCEI constituents, CHINAHONGQIAO surged by 6.1%, JD HEALTH by 5.4%, and ZIJIN MINING by 4.5%, with several stocks hitting new highs.
Significant Movers: In the HSMI & HSSI, JF SMARTINVEST jumped by 18.8%, CMSC by 12%, and NANSHAN AL INTL by 10.8%, indicating strong performance in smaller stocks.
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BofA Securities Rating: BofA Securities maintains a Buy rating for CKH HOLDINGS (00001.HK) and raises its target price by 9% to $62, citing improved valuation of its retail business and subsidiary AS Watson.
Valuation Insights: The current valuation shows a 54% discount to net asset value, which is viewed as attractive, despite uncertainties surrounding the potential disposal of its port business.
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- Market Volatility: The Hang Seng Index has alternated between gains and losses over the last six trading days, having previously surged over 565 points during a four-day winning streak, indicating uncertainty and cautious sentiment among investors as it approaches the 26,340-point mark.
- Strong Rebound: On Friday, the Hang Seng Index surged by 707.97 points, or 2.76%, closing at 26,338.47, with broad gains in financial, property, and technology stocks, reflecting a recovery in market confidence towards these sectors.
- Stock Performance: Alibaba Group rose by 4.34%, while China Life Insurance skyrocketed by 5.33%, demonstrating strong buying interest from investors that could further enhance overall market performance.
- International Impact: Despite positive performance in U.S. markets, geopolitical risks may weigh on sentiment, particularly following the U.S. military strike against Venezuela, prompting investors to remain vigilant about future market fluctuations.
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Catalysts for Hong Kong Conglomerates: 2026 is expected to be a significant year for Hong Kong conglomerates like CTF SERVICES, Jardines, and FIRST PACIFIC, with multiple catalysts anticipated according to CLSA's research.
Dividend Expectations: Investors can expect to be compensated through dividends, with a projected 3% year-over-year increase in sector dividends for 2026, supported by a 5% growth in recurring earnings and a weak USD.
Top Stock Picks: CLSA's top stock picks include CTF SERVICES and CKH HOLDINGS, both rated as Outperform with target prices of $8.8 and $61, respectively.
Additional Recommendations: CLSA also favors FIRST PACIFIC and SWIRE PACIFIC A, rating them as Outperform with target prices of $8.2 and $74.
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- Market Volatility: The Hang Seng Index has alternated between gains and losses over the past four trading days, having advanced nearly 600 points during a four-day winning streak, currently resting just above the 25,850-point level, indicating cautious market sentiment.
- Sector Performance: On Tuesday, the index rose by 219.37 points or 0.86%, primarily driven by gains in financial, property, and technology stocks, suggesting a rebound in investor confidence in these sectors.
- Stock Movements: Among active stocks, Alibaba increased by 0.84%, while CNOOC surged by 3.97%, reflecting positive market expectations for these companies.
- External Influences: Despite a soft performance from U.S. markets, where major indices declined slightly, investors remain focused on the upcoming release of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes, reflecting a cautious approach towards future interest rate directions.
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