<Daily Summary> HSI Falls 292 Points; HSTI Declines 156 Points; BABA Drops More Than 4%; XIAOMI Decreases Over 3%; HENDERSON LAND, MIDEA GROUP, CNOOC, HANG LUNG PPT, SHK PPT Reach New Peaks; Market Activity Increases
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 292 points (1.1%) to close at 26,413, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) dropped 156 points (2.9%) to 5,211, with a total market turnover of $165.37 billion.
Declining Heavyweights: Major stocks like Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, and Meituan experienced significant declines, with Alibaba down 4.9% and Xiaomi down 3.5%, reflecting a broader trend of short selling in the market.
Notable Movers: JD Health and Baidu saw substantial drops of 6.3%, while Beigene and PetroChina gained 4.2% and 3.7%, respectively, indicating mixed performance among HSI and HSCEI constituents.
High Performers in Smaller Stocks: Stocks like DOBOT and GUOFUHEE surged by over 17%, showcasing strong gains in smaller companies despite the overall market downturn.
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<Daily Summary> HSI Falls 292 Points; HSTI Declines 156 Points; BABA Drops More Than 4%; XIAOMI Decreases Over 3%; HENDERSON LAND, MIDEA GROUP, CNOOC, HANG LUNG PPT, SHK PPT Reach New Peaks; Market Activity Increases
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 292 points (1.1%) to close at 26,413, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) dropped 156 points (2.9%) to 5,211, with a total market turnover of $165.37 billion.
Declining Heavyweights: Major stocks like Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, and Meituan experienced significant declines, with Alibaba down 4.9% and Xiaomi down 3.5%, reflecting a broader trend of short selling in the market.
Notable Movers: JD Health and Baidu saw substantial drops of 6.3%, while Beigene and PetroChina gained 4.2% and 3.7%, respectively, indicating mixed performance among HSI and HSCEI constituents.
High Performers in Smaller Stocks: Stocks like DOBOT and GUOFUHEE surged by over 17%, showcasing strong gains in smaller companies despite the overall market downturn.
<Study>G Sachs Ratings and Target Prices for Hong Kong Homebuilders (Table)
Homebuilders Performance: Henderson Land and Sino Land showed positive stock movements, while New World Development experienced a slight decline; ratings varied from "Sell" to "Neutral" and "Buy."
Landlords Overview: Wharf Holdings and Wharf REIC faced declines, while Hang Lung Properties and Swire Properties saw gains; ratings ranged from "Sell" to "Buy."
Conglomerates Update: Swire Pacific A had a positive performance, while MTR Corporation and CKI Holdings experienced declines; ratings included "Neutral" and "Sell."
Short Selling Insights: Significant short selling activity was noted across various companies, with ratios indicating varying levels of investor sentiment and market confidence.
Midday Update: HSI Ends at 26,544, Down 161 Points; HSTI at 5,245, Down 122 Points; BABA Falls Over 3%; HENDERSON LAND, CNOOC, HANG LUNG PPT, MIDEA GROUP, and SHK PPT Reach New Highs
Market Performance: The HSI fell by 161 points (0.6%) to 26,544, while the HSTI and HSCEI also experienced declines of 2.3% and 0.6%, respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like BABA, XIAOMI, and TENCENT saw significant drops, with BABA down 3.7% and XIAOMI down 2.3%, amidst high short selling ratios.
Notable Movers: Beigene and PetroChina were among the gainers, with Beigene rising 4.8% and PetroChina up 4.6%, both hitting new highs.
Short Selling Trends: Several stocks, including JD Health and NTES, faced heavy short selling, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
G Sachs Increases 2026 Home Price Growth Prediction to 12%, Upgrades HENDERSON LAND and SINO LAND to Buy Rating
Goldman Sachs Home Price Forecast: Goldman Sachs has raised its 2026 home price increase forecast from 5% to 12%, citing anticipated boosts in demand from government visa and immigration policies, along with strong rental growth and lower mortgage rates encouraging a shift from renting to buying.
Stock Upgrades and Downgrades: The firm upgraded HENDERSON LAND and SINO LAND from Sell to Buy, while maintaining a Buy rating for SHK PPT with a significantly raised target price. Conversely, it downgraded CK ASSET from Buy to Neutral and WHARF REIC from Buy to Sell due to various market exposures and challenges.
Impact of Policy Changes: The removal of cooling measures at the start of FY2024 has reduced trading costs, potentially stimulating investment demand, with future government policies expected to support population and income growth, enhancing housing affordability.
Market Inventory and New Projects: The unit inventory from the upgraded companies represents about 36% of the overall market, with several new projects in progress, indicating a positive outlook for the Hong Kong residential market.
UBS: Valuations of Hong Kong Homebuilders Rising; Stock Picks Favor Low Debt, High Dividend, and Buyback Strategies
Market Overview: The Hong Kong real estate sector began 2026 positively, with several stocks nearing historical highs, prompting UBS to adopt a selective investment strategy due to rising valuations.
Preferred Stocks: UBS favored stocks with low net gearing ratios, including SINO LAND, CK ASSET, and KERRY PPT, citing lower risks of equity-related issuance amid slow industry deleveraging.
Dividend Focus: The broker also highlighted stocks with sustainable high dividends, such as SWIREPROPERTIES, SINO LAND, and KERRY PPT, while identifying potential valuation re-rating opportunities for stocks with low PB ratios.
Target Price Adjustments: UBS raised target prices for several stocks, including SINO LAND and CK ASSET, while maintaining a cautious stance on HENDERSON LAND, HYSAN DEV, and MTR CORPORATION.
HENDERSON LAND Anticipates Full Completion of Central Flagship Project in 5 Years, with Green Energy Business as Future Cornerstone
Project Overview: Henderson Land's flagship project, Central Yards, has pre-leased over 20,700 square meters, representing about 70% of its total office space, with rental agreements signed at high-end market prices.
Future Projections: The project is expected to be fully completed within the next five years, with a positive outlook on home prices and rents, as predicted by M Stanley.
Green Energy Focus: Chairman Lee Ka Kit anticipates that revenue from the green energy sector could match that of real estate within the next decade, indicating a strategic shift in business focus.
Investment in Startups: Through Full Vision Capital, Lee Ka Kit has invested in 10 global green tech startups, which have a combined valuation of USD6.5 billion and cumulative financing of USD2.5 billion as of last year.
<Daily Summary> HSI Falls 292 Points; HSTI Declines 156 Points; BABA Drops More Than 4%; XIAOMI Decreases Over 3%; HENDERSON LAND, MIDEA GROUP, CNOOC, HANG LUNG PPT, SHK PPT Reach New Peaks; Market Activity Increases
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 292 points (1.1%) to close at 26,413, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) dropped 156 points (2.9%) to 5,211, with a total market turnover of $165.37 billion.
Declining Heavyweights: Major stocks like Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, and Meituan experienced significant declines, with Alibaba down 4.9% and Xiaomi down 3.5%, reflecting a broader trend of short selling in the market.
Notable Movers: JD Health and Baidu saw substantial drops of 6.3%, while Beigene and PetroChina gained 4.2% and 3.7%, respectively, indicating mixed performance among HSI and HSCEI constituents.
High Performers in Smaller Stocks: Stocks like DOBOT and GUOFUHEE surged by over 17%, showcasing strong gains in smaller companies despite the overall market downturn.
<Study>G Sachs Ratings and Target Prices for Hong Kong Homebuilders (Table)
Homebuilders Performance: Henderson Land and Sino Land showed positive stock movements, while New World Development experienced a slight decline; ratings varied from "Sell" to "Neutral" and "Buy."
Landlords Overview: Wharf Holdings and Wharf REIC faced declines, while Hang Lung Properties and Swire Properties saw gains; ratings ranged from "Sell" to "Buy."
Conglomerates Update: Swire Pacific A had a positive performance, while MTR Corporation and CKI Holdings experienced declines; ratings included "Neutral" and "Sell."
Short Selling Insights: Significant short selling activity was noted across various companies, with ratios indicating varying levels of investor sentiment and market confidence.
Midday Update: HSI Ends at 26,544, Down 161 Points; HSTI at 5,245, Down 122 Points; BABA Falls Over 3%; HENDERSON LAND, CNOOC, HANG LUNG PPT, MIDEA GROUP, and SHK PPT Reach New Highs
Market Performance: The HSI fell by 161 points (0.6%) to 26,544, while the HSTI and HSCEI also experienced declines of 2.3% and 0.6%, respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like BABA, XIAOMI, and TENCENT saw significant drops, with BABA down 3.7% and XIAOMI down 2.3%, amidst high short selling ratios.
Notable Movers: Beigene and PetroChina were among the gainers, with Beigene rising 4.8% and PetroChina up 4.6%, both hitting new highs.
Short Selling Trends: Several stocks, including JD Health and NTES, faced heavy short selling, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
G Sachs Increases 2026 Home Price Growth Prediction to 12%, Upgrades HENDERSON LAND and SINO LAND to Buy Rating
Goldman Sachs Home Price Forecast: Goldman Sachs has raised its 2026 home price increase forecast from 5% to 12%, citing anticipated boosts in demand from government visa and immigration policies, along with strong rental growth and lower mortgage rates encouraging a shift from renting to buying.
Stock Upgrades and Downgrades: The firm upgraded HENDERSON LAND and SINO LAND from Sell to Buy, while maintaining a Buy rating for SHK PPT with a significantly raised target price. Conversely, it downgraded CK ASSET from Buy to Neutral and WHARF REIC from Buy to Sell due to various market exposures and challenges.
Impact of Policy Changes: The removal of cooling measures at the start of FY2024 has reduced trading costs, potentially stimulating investment demand, with future government policies expected to support population and income growth, enhancing housing affordability.
Market Inventory and New Projects: The unit inventory from the upgraded companies represents about 36% of the overall market, with several new projects in progress, indicating a positive outlook for the Hong Kong residential market.
UBS: Valuations of Hong Kong Homebuilders Rising; Stock Picks Favor Low Debt, High Dividend, and Buyback Strategies
Market Overview: The Hong Kong real estate sector began 2026 positively, with several stocks nearing historical highs, prompting UBS to adopt a selective investment strategy due to rising valuations.
Preferred Stocks: UBS favored stocks with low net gearing ratios, including SINO LAND, CK ASSET, and KERRY PPT, citing lower risks of equity-related issuance amid slow industry deleveraging.
Dividend Focus: The broker also highlighted stocks with sustainable high dividends, such as SWIREPROPERTIES, SINO LAND, and KERRY PPT, while identifying potential valuation re-rating opportunities for stocks with low PB ratios.
Target Price Adjustments: UBS raised target prices for several stocks, including SINO LAND and CK ASSET, while maintaining a cautious stance on HENDERSON LAND, HYSAN DEV, and MTR CORPORATION.
HENDERSON LAND Anticipates Full Completion of Central Flagship Project in 5 Years, with Green Energy Business as Future Cornerstone
Project Overview: Henderson Land's flagship project, Central Yards, has pre-leased over 20,700 square meters, representing about 70% of its total office space, with rental agreements signed at high-end market prices.
Future Projections: The project is expected to be fully completed within the next five years, with a positive outlook on home prices and rents, as predicted by M Stanley.
Green Energy Focus: Chairman Lee Ka Kit anticipates that revenue from the green energy sector could match that of real estate within the next decade, indicating a strategic shift in business focus.
Investment in Startups: Through Full Vision Capital, Lee Ka Kit has invested in 10 global green tech startups, which have a combined valuation of USD6.5 billion and cumulative financing of USD2.5 billion as of last year.
