Willis Towers Watson Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 7h ago
0mins
Should l Buy WTW?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Beat: Willis Towers Watson reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $8.12, exceeding expectations by $0.19, which reflects the company's robust profitability and boosts investor confidence.
- Revenue Performance: The quarterly revenue of $2.9 billion, down 3.3% year-over-year, still beat estimates by $40 million, indicating resilience in the face of market challenges, particularly following the sale of TRANZACT.
- Organic Revenue Growth: The company achieved a 6% organic revenue growth for the quarter and 5% for the year, demonstrating strong momentum in its core business and reflecting sustained competitive strength in the market.
- Annual Revenue Review: Total revenue for the year was $9.7 billion, a 2% decline primarily due to the TRANZACT sale; however, the company showcased adaptability in a complex market environment, positioning itself for recovery through strategic adjustments.
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Analyst Views on WTW
Wall Street analysts forecast WTW stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WTW is 365.00 USD with a low forecast of 318.00 USD and a high forecast of 400.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 316.610
Low
318.00
Averages
365.00
High
400.00
Current: 316.610
Low
318.00
Averages
365.00
High
400.00
About WTW
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company is a global advisory, broking and solutions company that provides data-driven, insight-led solutions in the areas of people, risk and capital. The Company’s segments include Health, Wealth & Career (HWC), Risk & Broking (R&B), and Corporate. The HWC segment provides an array of advice, broking, solutions and technology for employee benefit plans, institutional investors, compensation and career programs, and employee experience overall. Its portfolio of services supports the interrelated challenges that the management teams of its clients face across human resources and finance. It focuses on four key areas: Health, Wealth, Career and Benefits Delivery & Outsourcing. The R&B segment provides a range of risk advice, insurance brokerage and consulting services to clients ranging from small businesses to multinational corporations. Its R&B segment includes two businesses: Corporate Risk & Broking and Insurance Consulting and Technology.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Date: Willis Towers Watson is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on February 3rd before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $7.93, reflecting a 2.5% year-over-year decline, and revenue estimate at $2.86 billion, down 4.7% year-over-year, indicating revenue pressure on the company.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, WTW has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, showcasing the company's stability in profitability despite sluggish revenue growth.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 6 upward revisions and 10 downward revisions, while revenue estimates have had no upward revisions and 4 downward revisions, reflecting a cautious market outlook that may impact investor confidence.
- Subsidiary Financing Activity: Willis North America successfully priced a $1 billion senior note offering, strengthening the company's capital structure, and although overall revenue growth is slowing, this move may provide funding support for future expansions and investments.
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- Earnings Surprise: Willis Towers Watson (WTW) reported an adjusted EPS of $8.12 for Q4, exceeding the analyst estimate of $7.93 and up from $7.97 a year ago, indicating improved profitability.
- Revenue Performance: The total revenue of $2.94 billion fell slightly short of the $2.86 billion consensus and decreased 3% from $3.04 billion last year; however, organic revenue grew by 6% year-over-year, demonstrating core business stability.
- Segment Performance Variance: The Health, Wealth & Career segment saw an 11% year-over-year decline in total revenue, while the Risk & Broking unit achieved a 10% year-over-year growth, reflecting performance disparities across different business areas.
- Operational Efficiency Gains: The adjusted operating margin increased by 80 basis points to 36.9% year-over-year, showcasing the company's success in enhancing operational efficiency and optimizing its portfolio, with CEO Carl Hess noting that strategic investments in talent and innovation are beginning to pay off.
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- Earnings Beat: Willis Towers Watson reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $8.12, exceeding expectations by $0.19, which reflects the company's robust profitability and boosts investor confidence.
- Revenue Performance: The quarterly revenue of $2.9 billion, down 3.3% year-over-year, still beat estimates by $40 million, indicating resilience in the face of market challenges, particularly following the sale of TRANZACT.
- Organic Revenue Growth: The company achieved a 6% organic revenue growth for the quarter and 5% for the year, demonstrating strong momentum in its core business and reflecting sustained competitive strength in the market.
- Annual Revenue Review: Total revenue for the year was $9.7 billion, a 2% decline primarily due to the TRANZACT sale; however, the company showcased adaptability in a complex market environment, positioning itself for recovery through strategic adjustments.
See More
- Product Innovation: WTW's Rewards AI, a Generative AI-enabled compensation software, is designed to enhance how HR and compensation professionals access and analyze rewards data, thereby improving decision-making accuracy and efficiency through trusted proprietary data.
- Data-Driven Decisions: By employing a
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- Insurance Loss Overview: In 2025, global insured losses from natural catastrophes exceeded $100 billion, marking the sixth consecutive year above this threshold, despite a $40 billion decrease from 2024, indicating the persistent severity of natural disaster risks.
- Wildfire Risk Management: Wildfires are identified as a core contributor to insurance portfolio volatility, necessitating that pricing models adjust to current conditions rather than relying solely on historical losses, thereby enhancing predictive accuracy for future potential losses.
- Compound Risk Modeling: Risk modeling must account for compound perils, as rapid succession of multiple disasters can lead to delayed claims and disputes with policyholders, while tailored disaster risk financing products can mitigate the economic impact of such catastrophic events.
- Climate Change Impact: The warming North Atlantic is altering hurricane behavior, with 2025 witnessing no hurricanes making landfall in the US, yet the Caribbean may face more Category 5 storms, as climate change extends the favorable conditions for hurricane formation, increasing future risks.
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- Innovative Risk Management: Willis's newly launched eight-point digital infrastructure risk framework aims to comprehensively address the complex risks throughout the lifecycle of data centers, with projected insurance premiums in the sector reaching $10 billion, significantly enhancing client trust and corporate reputation.
- Energy Security Challenge: As power demand intensifies, Willis focuses on providing solutions across traditional and alternative energy sources, including the potential use of Small Modular Reactors, to ensure reliable energy supply for data centers, thereby enhancing operational resilience and competitive advantage.
- Tailored Solutions: Willis is developing dedicated digital infrastructure solutions to meet clients' unique risk profiles and operating environments, with expectations to secure over $3 billion in insurance capacity for significant global hyperscale data center development projects, further solidifying its market position.
- Deepening Industry Collaboration: Willis collaborates closely with some of the world's top ten data center developers and contractors to drive a transformation in risk management within the industry, emphasizing a shift from singular products to customizable frameworks to address increasingly complex systemic risks.
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