US Collaborates with Mexico and Others on Critical Mineral Price Floors
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 23h ago
0mins
Should l Buy MP?
Source: CNBC
- Critical Minerals Collaboration: The U.S. is partnering with Mexico, the EU, and Japan to implement minimum pricing for critical minerals within the next 60 days, addressing global market distortions and enhancing North American supply chain resilience.
- Action Plan Details: The U.S. Trade Representative indicated that the collaboration with Mexico will focus on establishing price floors for critical mineral imports and exploring how to implement these minimum prices in agreements with other nations.
- Strategic Partnerships: The cooperation with the EU and Japan will include a strategic partnership on critical minerals, with a memorandum of understanding on supply chain security expected within 30 days, demonstrating commitment from major market-oriented economies to a new trade paradigm.
- Policy Center Shift: The Trump administration has prioritized critical minerals in its trade and industrial policies to reduce dependence on China, enhancing domestic supply chain security through a national critical mineral stockpile and equity investments in related companies.
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Analyst Views on MP
Wall Street analysts forecast MP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MP is 76.13 USD with a low forecast of 55.27 USD and a high forecast of 94.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 60.550
Low
55.27
Averages
76.13
High
94.00
Current: 60.550
Low
55.27
Averages
76.13
High
94.00
About MP
MP Materials Corp. produces specialty materials that are vital inputs for electrification and other advanced technologies. The Company owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing Facility (Mountain Pass) located in California. It is also developing a rare earth metal, alloy and magnet manufacturing facility in Fort Worth, Texas (Independence Facility). The Company’s segments include Materials and Magnetics. The Materials segment operates Mountain Pass, which produces refined rare earth products as well as rare earth concentrate and related products. The Materials segment primarily generates revenue from sales of rare earth concentrate, primarily sold for further distribution to a single, principal customer in China, and sales of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide and metal, primarily sold to customers in Japan, South Korea, and broader Asia. The Magnetics segment operates the Independence Facility, where it produces magnetic precursor products.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strategic Stockpile Initiative: Trump's plan to establish a $12 billion strategic stockpile aims to diminish China's dominance in rare earth materials, marking a significant U.S. commitment to securing critical mineral supplies essential for industries like automotive, aerospace, and energy.
- Funding Sources: The initiative will be financed through a $10 billion loan from the U.S. Export-Import Bank and $1.67 billion from institutional investors, expected to be the largest mineral reserve investment in U.S. history.
- Corporate Participation: Over a dozen major companies, including General Motors, Boeing, and Google, have signed on to the project, with three major commodities traders handling raw material purchases, reflecting strong industry support for reducing reliance on China.
- Operational Mechanism: The program is designed to help manufacturers mitigate price volatility by allowing them to purchase minerals at fixed prices, with the project responsible for procurement and storage, while manufacturers pay carrying costs tied to loan interest and storage fees, ensuring supply flexibility.
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- Fed Hearing Controversy: Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina stated that while he believes Fed Chair Jerome Powell made a significant error in judgment during last year's congressional hearing, he does not think Powell committed any crimes, which may influence market confidence in Fed policies.
- Critical Minerals Partnership Talks: U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer announced that the U.S. is negotiating with Mexico to establish a critical minerals partnership that would set minimum prices for essential elements, thereby enhancing the stability of North American supply chains and reducing reliance on China.
- Global Market Implications: Greer emphasized that this partnership is part of the review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement, indicating that the world's largest market-oriented economies are committed to developing a new paradigm for preferential trade in critical minerals, which could affect investment strategies in related sectors.
- Investment Trends: The Trump administration has aggressively sought to reduce dependence on China for rare earths, investing in companies like MP Materials and USA Rare Earth, a strategy that could drive rapid growth in the U.S. critical minerals industry.
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- Critical Minerals Strategy: The U.S. government has prioritized critical minerals as a national security issue, launching a strategic stockpile initiative called 'Project Vault' aimed at enhancing supply chain control for electric vehicles and defense systems, thereby elevating the nation's position in global competition.
- Geopolitical Implications: The intensifying competition between the U.S. and China in the critical minerals sector, particularly in rare earths where China holds about 70% of the global market share, necessitates increased U.S. focus on countries like Colombia, Mexico, and Venezuela to secure resource supply chains.
- Market Volatility Expectations: While the market has largely shrugged off geopolitical tensions, investors remain optimistic about fiscal stimulus and strong earnings growth, anticipating continued volatility, especially in the critical minerals and alternative investment sectors.
- Investment Opportunities: Following the surge in rare earth mining stocks due to the critical minerals stockpile announcement, investors are encouraged to directly invest in commodities rather than related companies to achieve purer market exposure, indicating a growing interest in mining and alternative investments.
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- Critical Minerals Collaboration: The U.S. is partnering with Mexico, the EU, and Japan to implement minimum pricing for critical minerals within the next 60 days, addressing global market distortions and enhancing North American supply chain resilience.
- Action Plan Details: The U.S. Trade Representative indicated that the collaboration with Mexico will focus on establishing price floors for critical mineral imports and exploring how to implement these minimum prices in agreements with other nations.
- Strategic Partnerships: The cooperation with the EU and Japan will include a strategic partnership on critical minerals, with a memorandum of understanding on supply chain security expected within 30 days, demonstrating commitment from major market-oriented economies to a new trade paradigm.
- Policy Center Shift: The Trump administration has prioritized critical minerals in its trade and industrial policies to reduce dependence on China, enhancing domestic supply chain security through a national critical mineral stockpile and equity investments in related companies.
See More
- Event Announcement: Secretary of State Marco Rubio is hosting the inaugural Critical Minerals Ministerial in Washington, D.C. on Wednesday.
- Focus of the Meeting: The ministerial aims to address issues related to critical minerals, which are essential for various industries and technologies.
- Significance: This event highlights the importance of securing a stable supply of critical minerals for national security and economic growth.
- Participants: The meeting is expected to involve discussions among key stakeholders, including government officials and industry leaders.
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- Funding Cap Increase: The proposed legislation aims to raise the Export-Import Bank's lending authority from $135 billion to $205 billion, facilitating larger financing support for U.S. companies in critical sectors like energy and mining, thereby enhancing their international competitiveness.
- Support for Strategic Industries: If passed, the bill will enable the Ex-Im Bank to underwrite larger deals, particularly for U.S. firms struggling to secure private financing, aligning with the Trump administration's strategy to bolster domestic firms in global markets.
- Reducing Dependence on China: This legislative push coincides with broader U.S. efforts to decrease reliance on China for essential raw materials, particularly in the rare earth metals sector, which is crucial for national security and supply chain stability.
- Mineral Stockpile Initiative: The Trump administration has launched a $12 billion mineral stockpile initiative, combining private investments with a $10 billion loan from the Ex-Im Bank to purchase and store minerals vital for industries such as automotive, aerospace, and electronics.
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