Trump's Energy Agenda: Upon taking office in January 2025, Donald Trump emphasized a pro-oil production agenda, declaring a national energy emergency and promising to boost domestic drilling to combat inflation and high energy prices.
Impact of Low Oil Prices: By mid-December 2025, oil prices fell to around $55 per barrel, leading to concerns that many U.S. oil producers, especially smaller companies, may struggle to remain profitable as their breakeven costs exceed current market prices.
Market Reactions: The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) experienced a significant drop, reflecting broader bearish sentiment in the oil market, with analysts noting that only larger firms can sustain production at lower prices.
Future Outlook: Analysts suggest that while the current market dynamics indicate a surplus, there is potential for oil prices to rebound, especially if positive developments, such as a peace deal in Ukraine, materialize.
Wall Street analysts forecast EOG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EOG is 135.56 USD with a low forecast of 114.00 USD and a high forecast of 161.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
19 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast EOG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EOG is 135.56 USD with a low forecast of 114.00 USD and a high forecast of 161.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
9 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 108.050
Low
114.00
Averages
135.56
High
161.00
Current: 108.050
Low
114.00
Averages
135.56
High
161.00
Barclays
Betty Jiang
Equal Weight
downgrade
$136 -> $133
2026-01-21
New
Reason
Barclays
Betty Jiang
Price Target
$136 -> $133
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
New
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays analyst Betty Jiang lowered the firm's price target on EOG Resources to $133 from $136 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings and targets in the exploration and production group as part of a Q4 preview. The upstream sector's cash return model "remains resilient" amid macro volatility, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays see attractive opportunities in U.S. onshore. It tells investors to "tread carefully" through the near-term commodity uncertainty.
KeyBanc
Overweight -> Sector Weight
downgrade
2026-01-16
Reason
KeyBanc
Price Target
2026-01-16
downgrade
Overweight -> Sector Weight
Reason
KeyBanc last night downgraded EOG Resources to Sector Weight from Overweight without a price target. The firm enters 2026 with a more selective view of the oil and gas group citing weak oil prices and volatile natural gas prices. It downgrades EOG on degradation concerns. KeyBanc sees "clear signs" of degradation in both the Eagle Ford and Delaware Basin and a significant decline in Eagle Ford activity.
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Scotiabank
Paul Cheng
Sector Perform
downgrade
$130 -> $123
2026-01-16
Reason
Scotiabank
Paul Cheng
Price Target
$130 -> $123
2026-01-16
downgrade
Sector Perform
Reason
Scotiabank analyst Paul Cheng lowered the firm's price target on EOG Resources to $123 from $130 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for U.S. Integrated Oil, Refining, and Large Cap Exploration & Production, E&P, stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. Scotiabank expects earnings for the quarter to be straightforward due to the absence of major winter weather disruptions. Additionally, looking ahead, the firm expects investors to focus on whether recent market turmoil will cause changes to 2026 guidance and if any E&P companies will adopt cost reduction programs.
KeyBanc
Overweight -> Sector Weight
downgrade
2026-01-15
Reason
KeyBanc
Price Target
2026-01-15
downgrade
Overweight -> Sector Weight
Reason
KeyBanc downgraded EOG Resources to Sector Weight from Overweight.
About EOG
EOG Resources, Inc. is a crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company. The Company explores, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and natural gas primarily in major producing basins in the United States, the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago (Trinidad) and, from time to time, selects other international areas. Its operations are located in the basins of the United States with a focus on crude oil and natural gas plays. It is focused on the Wolfcamp, Bone Spring, and Leonard plays. The South Texas area includes the Eagle Ford play and the Dorado gas play. It holds approximately 535,000 total net acres in the Eagle Ford play and approximately 160,000 net acres in the Dorado gas play. In Trinidad, the Company, through its subsidiaries, including EOG Resources Trinidad Limited, holds interests in the exploration and production licenses covering the South East Coast Consortium (SECC) and Pelican Blocks, Banyan and Sercan Areas, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
