The Implied Analyst 12-Month Target For FXL
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 24 2024
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The First Trust Technology AlphaDEX Fund ETF (FXL) has an implied analyst target price of $169.33 per unit, indicating an 11.18% upside from its current trading price of $152.31. Notable underlying holdings with significant upside include Paycor HCM Inc, Arrow Electronics, and Kyndryl Holdings.
Investor Considerations: Analysts' target prices may reflect optimism or could be outdated based on recent developments; further research is needed to determine the validity of these targets and whether they might lead to downgrades in the future.
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Analyst Views on ARW
Wall Street analysts forecast ARW stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 226.780
Low
94.00
Averages
107.00
High
120.00
Current: 226.780
Low
94.00
Averages
107.00
High
120.00
About ARW
Arrow Electronics, Inc. sources and engineers' technology for thousands of manufacturers, service providers, and users of enterprise computing solutions. Its segments include global components and global ECS. It distributes electronic components to original equipment manufacturers and equipment manufacturers providers through its global components segment and provides enterprise computing solutions to value-added resellers and managed service providers through its global ECS reportable segment. The global ECS portfolio includes datacenter, cloud, security, and analytics solutions. Global ECS further supports customers by enabling their software and cloud solutions businesses through ArrowSphere, a software and cloud marketplace and management platform. It maintains over 140 sales facilities and 39 distribution and value-added centers, serving over 85 countries. It has operations in each of the three electronics markets, including the Americas, the EMEA and the Asia/Pacific regions.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Growth: Arrow Electronics reported $9.5 billion in revenue for the latest quarter, a 39% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share soaring to $4.55, reflecting its critical role in the AI supply chain.
- Consulting Service Expansion: The company's Enterprise Computing Solutions (ECS) division generated $2.8 billion in revenue, indicating that Arrow is not just a distributor but actively engages in developing AI systems for clients, driving overall business growth.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Management anticipates Q2 revenue between $9.15 billion and $9.75 billion, with adjusted earnings expected to rise 81% year-over-year despite a slight decline from Q1, showcasing confidence in future performance.
- Attractive Valuation: With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 16 and a forward P/E of 11, alongside a five-year PEG ratio of 0.35, Arrow is perceived as undervalued relative to long-term earnings growth expectations, drawing investor interest.
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- Certification Achievement: Arrow Electronics has earned the Frontier Distributor designation within the Microsoft AI Cloud Partner Program, indicating its exceptional performance in enabling channel partner success and further solidifying its leadership in the cloud and AI solutions market.
- Channel Support Capability: Through the ArrowSphere digital distribution platform and its technical, commercial, and enablement teams across EMEA and North America, Arrow provides the necessary infrastructure and services to help channel partners effectively deliver outcomes using Microsoft technologies.
- Market Recognition: In 2025, Microsoft named Arrow its Distribution Partner of the Year, recognizing its contributions to AI solutions, particularly the innovation of ArrowSphere Assistant, showcasing its influence within the industry.
- Strategic Investment: The Frontier Distributor designation reflects Arrow's ongoing investments in cloud, AI, and technical enablement, aimed at helping channel partners simplify cloud adoption, support AI deployments, and build scalable services.
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- Outstanding Stock Performance: Arrow Electronics has seen its stock price surge 104% year-to-date, significantly outperforming many competitors in the electronics distribution market amid the AI boom, indicating strong growth potential.
- Strong Financial Results: In the latest quarter, revenue rose 39% year-over-year to $9.5 billion, while adjusted earnings jumped 201% to $4.55 per share, reflecting the company's successful transformation in the AI solutions space.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Management anticipates Q2 revenue between $9.15 billion and $9.75 billion, with adjusted earnings expected to be down slightly but still up 81% year-over-year, showcasing the company's sustained profitability.
- Attractive Valuation: Despite the significant stock price increase, Arrow's forward P/E ratio stands at just 11, and its five-year PEG ratio is only 0.35, indicating it remains undervalued relative to long-term earnings growth expectations, drawing investor interest.
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- Global Experience Center Network: Arrow Electronics has established a global network of experience centers in Alpharetta, Georgia, and Stockholm, Sweden, aimed at helping channel partners define high-growth technology applications and enhance the skills and resources needed to bridge the gap between opportunity and implementation.
- Technical Support and Training: The experience centers focus on hybrid infrastructure, cybersecurity, and consultancy services, providing over 100 pre-built solutions that help channel partners and customers achieve higher success rates in AI and cloud technology applications, with an average proposal close rate of 90%.
- Strategic Investment and Market Positioning: By networking its experience centers globally, Arrow ensures that channel partners receive a consistent experience regardless of location, thereby enhancing customer trust and driving technological innovation, further solidifying its market leadership in AI, cloud, and security sectors.
- Customer Demand Driven: As many organizations remain in the early stages of defining their AI strategies, Arrow's investment provides customers with the necessary environment and technical support to unlock AI potential and meet the evolving market demands.
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- Strong Market Performance: U.S. stock markets reached record highs in May, with the three major indexes rising 3%, 5%, and 8%, reflecting robust investor confidence and signs of economic recovery, which are expected to continue driving market gains.
- Microchip Technology Growth Potential: Microchip Technology (MCHP) anticipates revenue and earnings growth rates of 31.5% and 84.2% for FY 2027, respectively, with the launch of its 3-nanometer PCIe Gen 6 switch enhancing its competitiveness in the AI infrastructure market.
- Ross Stores Expansion Plans: Ross Stores (ROST) reported a 21% sales growth in Q1, with plans to expand to 2,900 Ross Dress for Less and 700 dd's DISCOUNTS stores, demonstrating strong market demand and growth potential.
- MasTec Data Center Demand: MasTec (MTZ) benefits from AI-driven data center demand, expecting revenue and earnings growth rates of 22% and 35.3% for FY 2027, with its integrated capabilities in data center projects enhancing market share.
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- Rating Upgrade: Bank of America upgraded Arrow Electronics from Underperform to Neutral, reflecting an improving fundamental backdrop with backlog extending into Q2/Q3 and a book-to-bill ratio firmly above 1, indicating a healthier demand environment.
- Price Target Increase: Analyst Ruplu Bhattacharya raised Arrow's price target from $122 to $233, demonstrating increased confidence in the company's future performance, particularly in the context of AI-driven market demand.
- Sales Forecast: Arrow expects Q2 sales between $9.15 billion and $9.75 billion, with non-GAAP EPS projected at $4.32 to $4.52, indicating an optimistic outlook as component recovery accelerates.
- Market Challenges: Despite the positive outlook, analysts remain cautious about potential headwinds from the Asian market, the negative impact of pull-forward demand, and rising component costs, which may pose challenges in the second half of 2026.
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