Tesla Shares Up 22% in 2025, Focus on Autonomous Driving Innovations

Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Tesla to $551 from $482 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm reduced its Q4 delivery outlook for Tesla to 427,000 from 470,000, citing a sharper than anticipated deterioration in demand, with weakness broad-based across products and regions. However, even with the Q4 estimate cut, Canaccord sees "constructive developments beneath the surface" for Tesla. The recent share rally shows the market is looking through Q4, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the end of U.S. electric vehicle subsidies, while a near-term drag on demand, is "forcing a healthier, more durable market to emerge." Tesla "still stands alone in the U.S. with a truly scaled, integrated EV franchise," according to Canaccord. Meanwhile, the analyst believes electric vehicle adoption is "rising quickly" in emerging markets such as Thailand, Vietnam, and Brazil. Tesla's robotaxi rollout is progressing, the firm adds. Canaccord says the company's underlying positives outweigh the near-term earnings reset.

Deutsche Bank raised the firm's price target on Tesla to $500 from $470 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm increased the price target into the Q4 deliveries report.

Truist analyst William Stein raised the firm's price target on Tesla to $444 from $406 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm adjusted price targets in the semiconductor and artificial intelligence group after establishing 2027 estimates. Truist recognizes the challenges of finding the power to run AI infrastructure and getting the funding to pay for it. However, the firm believes AI infrastructure semiconductor stocks "remain cheap" relative to their growth. It sees "more upside pressure" to estimates for the group relative to the diversified analog semis heading into 2026. AI capital expenditure upside will continue in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney tells investors in a research note that the firm does not expect a disruption to Tesla's business in California following a report that said Tesla could be suspended from sales in the state for 30 days if it does not change how it is marketing its Autopilot system. Given that the ruling gives Tesla time to comply, and given that Tesla has changed or used alternative names when marketing ADAS features in the past, the firm maintains a Neutral rating and $400 price target on Tesla shares.