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Truist analyst William Stein lowered the firm's price target on Tesla to $439 from $444 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares after the company announced it delivered 418k units in Q4 2025, below consensus and the firm's estimate. Truist interprets the stock's bounce as "better than feared." Energy storage deployments beat consensus. The firm asserts investors should be more focused on AI projects, especially FSD. Truist views AI developments as far more important than auto deliveries for Tesla's long-term cash generation and stock performance.

Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco notes that Tesla delivered 418,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, a slight 1% miss versus sell-side consensus but ahead of the firm's 402,000 estimate and buy-side expectations of roughly 400,000-410,000. Morgan Stanley maintains its 1.597M vehicles unit sales and 64 GWh ESS deployment estimate in 2026. The catalyst path for Tesla remains concentrated around its robotaxi business in the first half of 2026, although advancements in personal FSD - in many ways tied to a successful robotaxi roll-out - remain important drivers of future vehicle demand to support the firm's double-digit volume growth expectations in 2027 and beyond. Morgan Stanley has an Equal Weight rating on the stock with a price target of $425.

Baird says Tesla shares are up 7% in the last month as attention turns to the company's potential catalysts in 2026. These include a broader robotaxi rollout, new product launches, and incremental details on Optimus commercialization, as well as non-Tesla items such as a SpaceX initial public offering, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Baird recommends owning the stock into the new year and continues to view the company as a core holding. It keeps an Outperform rating on Tesla with a $548 price target.

Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Tesla to $551 from $482 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm reduced its Q4 delivery outlook for Tesla to 427,000 from 470,000, citing a sharper than anticipated deterioration in demand, with weakness broad-based across products and regions. However, even with the Q4 estimate cut, Canaccord sees "constructive developments beneath the surface" for Tesla. The recent share rally shows the market is looking through Q4, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the end of U.S. electric vehicle subsidies, while a near-term drag on demand, is "forcing a healthier, more durable market to emerge." Tesla "still stands alone in the U.S. with a truly scaled, integrated EV franchise," according to Canaccord. Meanwhile, the analyst believes electric vehicle adoption is "rising quickly" in emerging markets such as Thailand, Vietnam, and Brazil. Tesla's robotaxi rollout is progressing, the firm adds. Canaccord says the company's underlying positives outweigh the near-term earnings reset.