Shoe Carnival's Stock Performance: Shoe Carnival's stock has increased by 18% over the last three months, prompting an analysis of its financials and return on equity (ROE).
Return on Equity Analysis: The company's ROE is calculated at 10%, which is below the industry average of 17%, indicating less effective capital reinvestment compared to peers.
Earnings Growth and Reinvestment: Despite a lower ROE, Shoe Carnival has shown moderate net income growth of 8.2% over five years, supported by a low payout ratio of 15%, suggesting strong reinvestment into the business.
Future Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast a slowdown in earnings growth for Shoe Carnival, raising questions about whether this is due to broader industry trends or specific company fundamentals.
SCVL
$19.11+Infinity%1D
Analyst Views on SCVL
Wall Street analysts forecast SCVL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SCVL is 19.00 USD with a low forecast of 19.00 USD and a high forecast of 19.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SCVL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SCVL is 19.00 USD with a low forecast of 19.00 USD and a high forecast of 19.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 18.990
Low
19.00
Averages
19.00
High
19.00
Current: 18.990
Low
19.00
Averages
19.00
High
19.00
Seaport Research
Buy -> Neutral
downgrade
2025-08-26
Reason
Seaport Research
Price Target
2025-08-26
downgrade
Buy -> Neutral
Reason
Seaport Research downgraded Shoe Carnival to Neutral from Buy.
Seaport Research
Buy
to
Neutral
downgrade
2025-08-26
Reason
Seaport Research
Price Target
2025-08-26
downgrade
Buy
to
Neutral
Reason
As previously reported, Seaport Research downgraded Shoe Carnival to Neutral from Buy and removed the firm's prior price target. The firm suspects that the back-to-school season is not progressing as well as Shoe Carnival expected, the analyst tells investors.
Williams Trading
Sam Poser
Hold
maintain
$17 -> $21
2025-06-02
Reason
Williams Trading
Sam Poser
Price Target
$17 -> $21
2025-06-02
maintain
Hold
Reason
Williams Trading analyst Sam Poser raised the firm's price target on Shoe Carnival to $21 from $17 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares.
Seaport Research
Buy
downgrade
$26 -> $24
2025-05-28
Reason
Seaport Research
Price Target
$26 -> $24
2025-05-28
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Seaport Research lowered the firm's price target on Shoe Carnival to $24 from $26 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is encouraged that the second half of the company's Q1 was better than the first half, the analyst tells investors. Given the worse-than-previously expected tariff backdrop, however, the firm expects the company to lower its FY25 guidance.
About SCVL
Shoe Carnival, Inc. is a family footwear retailer. It offers an assortment of dress, casual and athletic footwear for men, women and children with emphasis on national name brands. Its omnichannel bricks provide customers easy access to its range assortment of branded footwear for athletics, daily activities and special events via their choice of delivery channel. Its typical physical store carries shoes in two general categories: athletics and non-athletics with subcategories for men's, women's and children's, and a range of accessories. Its trademarks and service marks: Shoe Carnival and associated trade dress and related logos, Y-NOT?, UNR8ED, Solanz, Shoe Perks, SC Work Wear, Shoes 2U, Laces for Learning, Rogan’s Shoes, Shoe Station, Shoe Station Super Store, and Shoe Station Select. It operates approximately 431 stores in 36 states and Puerto Rico under its Shoe Carnival, Shoe Station, and Rogan’s store and offers shopping at www.shoecarnival.com and www.shoestation.com.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
