Roblox Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy RBLX?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Highlights: Roblox reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$0.45, beating expectations by $0.01, indicating resilience in financial performance despite ongoing losses.
- Booking Growth: The quarter saw bookings reach $2.22 billion, a 63.2% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $130 million, suggesting a significant boost in user engagement and spending capacity that could lay the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following the earnings release, Roblox shares surged by 17%, reflecting investor optimism about the company's growth potential, although there remains divergence in market sentiment regarding its long-term strategy.
- Market Concerns: Amid scrutiny over child safety and AI cost concerns, Roblox's earnings report has drawn widespread attention, with analysts holding varied views on its future performance, highlighting the complexities and challenges within the industry.
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Analyst Views on RBLX
Wall Street analysts forecast RBLX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RBLX is 133.89 USD with a low forecast of 70.00 USD and a high forecast of 180.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
22 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
8 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 63.070
Low
70.00
Averages
133.89
High
180.00
Current: 63.070
Low
70.00
Averages
133.89
High
180.00
About RBLX
Roblox Corporation operates a platform for connection and communication (Roblox Platform), where every day, people come to create, play, work, learn, and connect with each other in experiences built by its global community of creators. The Company’s platform consists of the Roblox Client, the Roblox Studio, and the Roblox Cloud. Roblox Client is an application that allows users to seamlessly explore 3D immersive experiences. Roblox Studio is the free toolset that allows developers and creators to build, publish, and operate three-dimensional (3D) immersive experiences and other content accessed with the Roblox Client. Roblox Cloud includes the services and infrastructure that power its Platform. The Company operates the Roblox Platform as a live service that allows users to play and socialize with others for free. The Company offers developers and creators the ability to build engaging, immersive experiences and marketplace items that they can easily share with the Roblox community.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Highlights: Roblox reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$0.45, beating expectations by $0.01, indicating resilience in financial performance despite ongoing losses.
- Booking Growth: The quarter saw bookings reach $2.22 billion, a 63.2% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $130 million, suggesting a significant boost in user engagement and spending capacity that could lay the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following the earnings release, Roblox shares surged by 17%, reflecting investor optimism about the company's growth potential, although there remains divergence in market sentiment regarding its long-term strategy.
- Market Concerns: Amid scrutiny over child safety and AI cost concerns, Roblox's earnings report has drawn widespread attention, with analysts holding varied views on its future performance, highlighting the complexities and challenges within the industry.
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- Revenue and Bookings Growth: Roblox achieved $1.4 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, a 43% year-on-year increase, while bookings reached $2.2 billion, up 63%, indicating strong performance in user engagement and content diversity.
- User Demographic Expansion: The 18+ user cohort grew over 50%, monetizing 40% more effectively than younger users, demonstrating Roblox's success in attracting and converting a more mature user base, thereby enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Technological Innovations Driving Growth: Significant investments in technical infrastructure, including cloud-native streaming and server authority, are expected to further enhance user experience and platform health, supporting future revenue growth.
- 2026 Outlook: CFO Naveen Chopra forecasts bookings growth of 22% to 26% for 2026, emphasizing continued investments in creators and infrastructure to achieve long-term profit growth, although short-term margin fluctuations may pose challenges.
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- Performance Exceeds Expectations: Roblox reported a Q4 loss per share of 45 cents, better than the 48 cents expected by analysts, with bookings reaching $2.22 billion, surpassing the $2.05 billion forecast, indicating strong market performance.
- Significant User Growth: The company reported 144 million daily active users (DAUs) in Q4, a 69% year-over-year increase, exceeding analysts' expectations of 138 million, reflecting a notable rise in user engagement and platform appeal.
- Strategic Shift: Roblox announced it will no longer provide annual guidance starting in 2027, opting instead for quarterly guidance to address inherent business variability, a strategy that may enhance investor confidence in the company's future performance.
- Age Verification Measures: The company implemented mandatory age checks in Australia, New Zealand, and the Netherlands, with 60% of daily users completing verification; while this has caused slight short-term headwinds to engagement and bookings, it is expected to enhance user safety and content customization, driving organic growth in the long run.
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- Strong Performance: Roblox's fourth-quarter bookings reached $2.22 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $2.05 billion by 8.3%, indicating robust market performance that is likely to boost investor confidence further.
- Significant User Growth: The company reported an average of 144 million daily active users (DAUs) in Q4, a 69% year-over-year increase that surpassed analyst expectations of 138 million, demonstrating the platform's growing appeal and potential for future revenue growth.
- Financial Challenges: Despite a 63% increase in bookings, Roblox reported a net loss of $316 million, a nearly 44% increase from $220 million a year prior, reflecting cost pressures faced during expansion that may impact future profitability.
- Future Guidance Adjustment: Roblox announced it will no longer provide annual guidance starting in 2027, focusing instead on quarterly guidance to address the “inherent variability” in its business, a strategic shift that may influence investor expectations regarding the company's long-term growth.
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- Significant User Growth: Roblox reported a 69% increase in daily average users (DAU) to 144 million in Q4, nearly 4 million above expectations, demonstrating the platform's ability to attract users even after implementing safety measures, which boosts market confidence.
- Engagement Hours Surge: Hours engaged on the platform rose by 88%, reflecting enhanced user retention and laying a solid foundation for future revenue growth, indicating Roblox's success in improving user experience.
- Revenue vs. Expectations: The company achieved total revenue of $1.4 billion in Q4, up 43% year-over-year, although slightly below the $1.44 billion estimate, showcasing strong financial performance and competitive positioning in the market.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Roblox expects current quarter sales to range between $1.69 billion and $1.74 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.71 billion, indicating confidence in future growth, with full-year sales projected to reach $8.28 billion to $8.55 billion.
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- Growth Expectations: Roblox is projected to achieve double-digit growth in bookings by 2025, which, despite cautious market sentiment, may attract investor interest due to its potential for revenue expansion.
- User Engagement Increase: The rise in Daily Active Users (DAU) indicates that the platform's appeal is still growing, which positively impacts the company's long-term revenue prospects, even amidst concerns regarding child safety and AI-related costs.
- Market Sentiment: Despite some analysts expressing bearish views on Roblox's future, suggesting that its growth story is overlooked, the recent surge in stock price reflects a more optimistic sentiment among investors regarding its short-term performance.
- Competitive Pressure: In the context of overall growth in the gaming industry, Roblox faces competitive pressures from other platforms, which could impact its market share and profitability moving forward.
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