Strategic Focus: Rio Tinto is set to present its strategy for achieving industry-leading returns by streamlining operations into three core businesses: Iron Ore, Copper, and Aluminium & Lithium, emphasizing operational excellence, project execution, and capital discipline.
Production Growth and Financial Outlook: The company anticipates a 7% production growth in 2025 and a 3% compound annual growth rate through 2030, with significant productivity benefits and a strong balance sheet supporting its financial goals.
Decarbonization Efforts: Rio Tinto aims for a competitive decarbonization pathway targeting a 50% reduction in emissions by 2030, with revised capital estimates reflecting a more disciplined approach to investment in renewable technologies.
Updated Production Guidance: The company has upgraded its production guidance for copper and bauxite for 2025 while downgrading guidance for iron ore, indicating a strategic adjustment in response to market conditions and operational capabilities.
Wall Street analysts forecast RIO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RIO is 83.70 USD with a low forecast of 68.00 USD and a high forecast of 129.50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RIO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RIO is 83.70 USD with a low forecast of 68.00 USD and a high forecast of 129.50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 87.300
Low
68.00
Averages
83.70
High
129.50
Current: 87.300
Low
68.00
Averages
83.70
High
129.50
RBC Capital
maintain
2026-01-22
New
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
New
maintain
Reason
RBC Capital raised the firm's price target on Rio Tinto to 6,100 GBp from 6,000 GBp and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares.
Berenberg
Hold
maintain
2025-12-17
Reason
Berenberg
Price Target
2025-12-17
maintain
Hold
Reason
Berenberg raised the firm's price target on Rio Tinto to 5,300 GBp from 5,200 GBp and keeps a Hold rating on the shares.
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Morgan Stanley
NULL -> Overweight
upgrade
2025-12-16
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
2025-12-16
upgrade
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Rio Tinto to 6,060 GBp from 5,810 GBp and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
Argus
John Eade
Buy
maintain
$70 -> $85
2025-12-11
Reason
Argus
John Eade
Price Target
$70 -> $85
2025-12-11
maintain
Buy
Reason
Argus analyst John Eade raised the firm's price target on Rio Tinto to $85 from $70 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company has strengthened its operating performance and balance sheet in recent years by cutting costs and selling noncore assets, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Rio Tinto is also starting to focus on future clean energy needs through the development of lithium projects and with an acquisition, the firm added.
About RIO
Rio Tinto plc is a United Kingdom-based mining and materials company. It operates in over 35 countries, and its portfolio includes iron ore, copper, aluminum and a range of other minerals and materials. Its segments include Iron Ore, Aluminum, Copper, and Minerals. The Iron Ore segment includes iron ore mining and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia. Its iron ore operations in Pilbara comprise an integrated network of over 18 iron ore mines and four independent port terminals. The Aluminum segment includes bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting and recycling. The Copper segment includes mining and refining of copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, other by-products and licensing of extraction technologies. The Minerals segment includes mining and processing of borates, diamonds, iron concentrate and pellets from the Iron Ore Company of Canada, lithium and titanium dioxide feedstock.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
