Rigetti Computing's Stock Doubles Despite 39% Revenue Decline

Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst

RGTI-2.39%

Source: NASDAQ.COM

Updated: 2h ago

0mins

Source: NASDAQ.COM

Stock Surge: Rigetti Computing's stock has more than doubled over the past year, reaching a market capitalization of $8.5 billion, despite generating only $5.2 million in revenue, reflecting high market expectations for quantum computing potential.
Revenue Decline: The company experienced a 39% year-over-year revenue drop in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating significant challenges in commercializing its quantum computing platforms, which may undermine future investor confidence.
Substantial Losses: Rigetti reported a net loss of $198 million during the same period, and while it holds around $600 million in cash, ongoing losses could necessitate further fundraising, risking shareholder dilution.
Valuation Risks: With a staggering price-to-sales ratio of 1,010, far exceeding Nvidia's 24, Rigetti's valuation appears unsustainable, suggesting a potential sharp decline in stock price in 2026, prompting investors to carefully assess risks.

RGTI

$24.51+Infinity%1D

Analyst Views on RGTI

Wall Street analysts forecast RGTI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RGTI is 40.60 USD with a low forecast of 35.00 USD and a high forecast of 51.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

7 Analyst Rating

5 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 25.110

Low

35.00

Averages

40.60

High

51.00

Current: 25.110

Low

35.00

Averages

40.60

High

51.00

Wedbush

Outperform

initiated

$35

2025-12-17

Reason

Wedbush

Price Target

$35

2025-12-17

initiated

Outperform

Reason

Wedbush initiated coverage of Rigetti Computing with an Outperform rating and $35 price target. With over a decade of experience in quantum computing research and development and as one of the current leaders in the superconducting qubit modality, the firm believes Rigetti is well positioned to benefit from the long-term growth in the quantum hardware addressable market. The superconducting qubits modality currently offers the broadest range of actively explored quantum computing use cases due to the rapid progress and industry momentum, and the large amounts of funding invested in this modality by some of the world's largest companies as well as the Government of China, Wedbush adds.

Jefferies

Hold

initiated

$30

2025-12-16

Reason

Jefferies

Price Target

$30

2025-12-16

initiated

Hold

Reason

Jefferies initiated coverage of Rigetti Computing with a Hold rating and $30 price target. The company will benefit from early-cycle quantum tailwinds, but the stock is balanced by execution and revenue mix risks, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says Rigetti's credibility from past roadmap slips require sustained delivery while its revenue remains heavily government-dependent, which hinders near-term visibility.

Mizuho

Vijay Rakesh

Outperform

initiated

$50

2025-12-11

Reason

Mizuho

Vijay Rakesh

Price Target

$50

2025-12-11

initiated

Outperform

Reason

Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh initiated coverage of Rigetti Computing with an Outperform rating and $50 price target. The firm sees the company scaling with $450M in cash, equivalents, and investments on hand. This could be sufficient to operate through at least 2030, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Mizuho says Rigetti is the closest scalable superconducting quantum computing peer to IBM and Google.

B. Riley

Neutral

downgrade

$42 -> $35

2025-11-12

Reason

B. Riley

Price Target

$42 -> $35

2025-11-12

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

B. Riley lowered the firm's price target on Rigetti Computing to $35 from $42 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Sales and EPS came near modest consensus estimates, with most system sales expected in 1Q26 and 2Q26, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Cash of roughly $600M could support future M&A, though no immediate targets are identified, while shares have pulled back slightly after recent gains, the firm says.

About RGTI

Rigetti Computing, Inc. is a full-stack quantum computing company. The Company operates quantum computers over the cloud and serves global enterprise, government, and research clients through its Rigetti Quantum Cloud Services platform. The Company’s quantum-classical infrastructure provides high-performance integration with public and private clouds for practical quantum computing. It has developed a multi-chip quantum processor for scalable quantum computing systems. Through the Company’s Quantum Computing as a Service (QCaaS) platform, its machines can be integrated into any public, private or hybrid cloud. It is also engaged in the sale of quantum processing units (QPUs) and custom computing components, and development contracts and other services. Its QPUs contain fabricated silicon-based chips featuring superconducting qubits. The Company designs and manufactures its chips in-house at Fab-1, an integrated quantum device manufacturing facility.

About the author

Emily J. Thompson

Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.