Polymarket Traders See 47% Chance for Gold to Outperform Bitcoin in 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1d ago
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Source: Benzinga
- Strong Gold Performance: Year-to-date, gold has risen 12.6%, jumping from $4,321 per ounce on January 1 to $4,840 on Wednesday, reflecting increased investor preference for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical uncertainty and tariff threats.
- Weak Bitcoin Performance: In contrast, Bitcoin has only increased by 0.3% year-to-date and fell 3% after Trump's Davos speech, indicating its characteristics as a risk asset rather than a safe haven.
- Technical Level Struggles: Bitcoin's price is trapped between key technical levels, currently facing resistance and support at the 20-day and 50-day EMAs; failure to reclaim $97,000 could lead to a drop towards $86,000-$80,000.
- Shifting Market Sentiment: With gold's strong performance and Bitcoin's weakness, market sentiment is shifting, prompting investors to reassess asset allocations, which could lead to a significant change in investment flows between gold and Bitcoin.
Analyst Views on BTC
Wall Street analysts forecast BTC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BTC is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
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About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
