Plains All American Pipeline to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 6
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3d ago
0mins
Should l Buy PAA?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Plains All American Pipeline is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on February 6 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.50, reflecting a 19% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $12.69 billion, representing a modest 2.3% year-over-year growth, which, while small, demonstrates the company's resilience in maintaining stable revenue streams amid current economic conditions.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, PAA has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time, while only achieving a 13% success rate in surpassing revenue estimates, highlighting volatility in earnings forecasts that may affect investor confidence.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and two downward revisions, while revenue estimates experienced one upward revision and six downward revisions, indicating uncertainty that could impact market reactions, prompting investors to closely monitor the earnings results.
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Analyst Views on PAA
Wall Street analysts forecast PAA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PAA is 20.19 USD with a low forecast of 16.50 USD and a high forecast of 23.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 19.400
Low
16.50
Averages
20.19
High
23.00
Current: 19.400
Low
16.50
Averages
20.19
High
23.00
About PAA
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and provides logistics services for crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL). It owns a network of pipeline gathering and transportation systems, in addition to terminalling, storage, processing, fractionation and other infrastructure assets serving key producing basins, transportation corridors and major market hubs and export outlets in the United States and Canada. Its Crude Oil segment operations consist of gathering and transporting crude oil using pipelines, gathering systems, trucks and at times on barges or railcars. Its assets provide services to third parties as well as to its merchant activities. Its NGL segment operations involve natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation and terminalling. NGL segment offers merchant activities include the acquisition of extraction rights from producers and/or shippers of the gas streams that pass through its Empress facility.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Report: Plains All American Pipeline reported Q4 earnings of $0.40 per share, missing the analyst consensus of $0.41, indicating a decline in profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Sales Decline: The company reported quarterly sales of $10.565 billion, falling short of the $12.731 billion consensus estimate, reflecting weak market demand that could pressure future performance.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following the earnings announcement, Plains All American's shares fell 1.6% to $19.09, indicating market reaction to disappointing results, which may impact the company's short-term financing capabilities.
- Analyst Rating Adjustments: Analysts adjusted their price targets, with Wells Fargo raising its target from $20 to $21, while Barclays and Scotiabank increased their targets to $18 and $23 respectively, reflecting cautious optimism about the stock's future.
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- Strategic Transition: Plains All American is undergoing a strategic transition by divesting its NGL business and acquiring the Cactus III pipeline, enhancing cash flow quality and sustainability, positioning the company competitively for future market cycles.
- Cost Savings Target: The company aims to achieve $100 million in annual cost savings by 2027, with approximately 50% expected to be realized in 2026, significantly improving operational efficiency and enhancing profitability.
- Distribution Policy Adjustment: A 10% quarterly distribution increase brings the annual distribution to $1.67 per unit, while lowering the coverage ratio threshold from 160% to 150%, reflecting improved business visibility and paving the way for future distribution growth.
- Financial Performance: The fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA reached $738 million, with a full-year adjusted EBITDA of $2.833 billion, demonstrating the company's financial resilience and growth potential during its transition phase.
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- Earnings Shortfall: Plains All American Pipeline reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.26, missing expectations by $0.17, indicating a significant decline in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company’s Q4 revenue of $10.57 billion represents a 14.8% year-over-year drop and fell short of the expected $11.31 billion, reflecting weak market demand and operational challenges that may pressure future cash flows.
- Market Reaction: Following the disappointing results, BofA downgraded Plains All American to a 'Sell' rating, which could further erode investor confidence and negatively impact the stock price.
- Yield Sustainability Concerns: Although the company offers yields exceeding 8%, the current financial performance raises caution among investors regarding sustainability, particularly amid increasing market volatility.
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- Net Income Surge: Plains All American reported a net income of $342 million for Q4 2025 and $1.435 billion for the full year, marking an 86% increase from 2024, which reflects strong performance in the midstream oil and gas market and is likely to boost investor confidence.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $738 million in Q4 and $2.833 billion for the year, demonstrating effective cost control and operational efficiency, which are expected to support future capital expenditures and distributions.
- 2026 Outlook and Distribution Increase: Plains anticipates a midpoint adjusted EBITDA of $2.75 billion for 2026 and announced a $0.15 per unit increase in distributions, representing a 10% rise in the annualized distribution rate, enhancing return expectations for investors and attracting more capital inflows.
- Strategic Asset Divestiture: The company plans to complete the sale of its Canadian NGL business by the end of Q1 2026, which is expected to optimize asset allocation and reduce leverage ratios, further solidifying its leadership position in the North American midstream market.
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Pipeline Overview: The Plains All American Pipeline is a significant player in the oil and gas industry, focusing on transportation and storage of crude oil and natural gas liquids.
Financial Performance: The company reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40 for the fourth quarter, indicating a stable financial performance amidst market fluctuations.
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