Nio Faces Three Major Risks as Share Price Drops to $4.95
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Source: Fool
- Delivery Growth: Nio delivered 36,275 vehicles in November, marking a 76.3% year-over-year increase and nearing October's record of 40,397 vehicles, indicating strong market demand; however, profitability remains elusive.
- Profitability Challenges: Despite projected revenue of $9.1 billion in 2023, Nio's net losses are expected to rise to $2.2 billion, highlighting that sales growth has not translated into profitability, leaving future earnings prospects uncertain.
- Tightening Subsidy Policies: The Chinese government is gradually reducing EV purchase subsidies, with only a 50% tax exemption available starting in 2026, which could lead to a decline in Nio's sales, impacting its revenue and stock price.
- Trade Barrier Risks: The EU has imposed tariffs ranging from 17% to 35.3% on Chinese EVs, which may hinder Nio's international expansion plans, particularly as it relies on price competitiveness, increasing uncertainty for future growth.
NIO
$4.99+Infinity%1D
Analyst Views on NIO
Wall Street analysts forecast NIO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NIO is 6.90 USD with a low forecast of 3.00 USD and a high forecast of 8.60 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 4.930
Low
3.00
Averages
6.90
High
8.60
Current: 4.930
Low
3.00
Averages
6.90
High
8.60
About NIO
NIO Inc is a holding company mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacturing and sales of smart electric vehicles. The Company offers premium smart electric vehicles under the NIO brand, family-oriented smart electric vehicles through the ONVO brand, and small smart high-end electric cars with the FIREFLY brand. The Company focuses on building in-house capabilities including battery swapping, assisted and intelligent driving, digital technologies, electric powertrain and battery, vehicle engineering and design, among others, to control the design and development of the vehicle software and hardware architecture and the critical components.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.





