MicroStrategy Faces Potential MSCI Exclusion, Risking Up to $9 Billion in Demand
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 19 2025
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Source: Newsfilter
- Potential Exclusion Impact: MSCI's proposal to exclude companies with digital assets over 50% could lead to MicroStrategy facing up to $9 billion in demand loss, severely impacting its market appeal.
- Market Value Fluctuation: Analysts estimate that $2.5 billion of MicroStrategy's market value is derived from MSCI, and exclusion could trigger $2.8 billion in stock outflows, exacerbating the company's financial strain.
- Industry Reaction: The MSCI proposal has sparked widespread concern, with expectations that other index providers may follow suit, potentially 'chilling' the entire digital asset treasury sector.
- Passive Investment Impact: Passive asset managers hold about 30% of a large-cap company's free float, and exclusion from MSCI could trigger significant outflows, affecting MicroStrategy's funding capabilities and competitive position.
Analyst Views on MSTR
Wall Street analysts forecast MSTR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MSTR is 453.17 USD with a low forecast of 229.00 USD and a high forecast of 705.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 160.580
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
Current: 160.580
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
About MSTR
Strategy Inc., formerly MicroStrategy Incorporated, is a bitcoin treasury and business intelligence company. The Company provides cloud-native, artificial intelligence (AI)-powered enterprise analytics software to thousands of global customers. The Company’s Strategy ONE platform provides access to AI-powered workflows, unlimited data sources, cloud-native technologies, and performance to speed up time from data to action. Strategy One delivers visualization, reporting, and embedded analytics capabilities across retail, banking, technology, manufacturing, insurance, consulting, healthcare, telecommunications, and the public sector. Its Strategy Mosaic is a universal intelligence layer that provides enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it. The Strategy Mosaic offers data clarity and connection by eliminating trade-offs between flexibility, control, and speed.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
