Main Street Capital's Q4 Net Income Estimate at $1.01-$1.05, Price Target Raised to $65
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 15 2026
0mins
Source: stocktwits
- Q4 Performance Estimate: Main Street Capital anticipates its fourth quarter 2025 net investment income to be between $1.01 and $1.05 per share, indicating a sustained growth potential in investment returns that is likely to bolster investor confidence.
- Net Asset Value Growth: The company expects its Q4 net asset value per share to reach $33.29 to $33.37, reflecting a sequential increase of 1.5% to 1.8%, primarily driven by the fair value increase of its investment portfolio, showcasing the positive impact of market recovery on asset values.
- Record Investment Activity: Main Street achieved an annual record of approximately $700 million in gross investments for 2025, particularly under its unique lower middle market investment strategy, demonstrating the company's strong performance and growth potential in the market.
- Analyst Rating Adjustment: Lucid Capital raised Main Street's price target to $65 while maintaining a 'Neutral' rating, indicating that despite bearish retail sentiment, the company's robust investment performance and asset growth continue to attract analyst attention.
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Analyst Views on MAIN
Wall Street analysts forecast MAIN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MAIN is 65.33 USD with a low forecast of 60.00 USD and a high forecast of 70.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 64.270
Low
60.00
Averages
65.33
High
70.00
Current: 64.270
Low
60.00
Averages
65.33
High
70.00
About MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation is a principal investment company that primarily provides customized long-term debt and equity capital solutions to lower middle market (LMM) companies and debt capital to private companies owned by or in the process of being acquired by a private equity fund. Its portfolio investments are typically made to support management buyouts, recapitalizations, growth financings, refinancings and acquisitions of companies that operate in a variety of industry sectors. The Company invests primarily in secured debt investments, equity investments, warrants and other securities of LMM companies based in the United States and in secured debt investments of private loan companies generally headquartered in the United States. It owns several investment funds, including Main Street Mezzanine Fund, LP and Main Street Capital III, LP, (the Funds), and each of their general partners. MSC Adviser I, LLC, serves as an investment adviser.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
MSC Income Fund Announces 2025 Dividend Tax Treatment and Preliminary Q4 Earnings Estimates
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- Dividend Tax Treatment: The total dividend for 2025 is projected at $1.44 per share, with approximately 81% taxed as ordinary income, 18% as qualified dividends, and 1% as long-term capital gains, highlighting the company's focus on tax optimization and enhancing investor appeal.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: MSC Income plans to release its Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 26, 2026, followed by a conference call on February 27, 2026, to provide further financial details, enhancing transparency and investor confidence.
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MSC Income Fund Announces Q4 2025 Earnings and Federal Tax Treatment of Dividends
- Strong Q4 Performance: MSC Income estimates its Q4 2025 net investment income (NII) to be between $0.26 and $0.30 per share, reflecting robust portfolio performance and an over 16% return on equity, indicating significant gains in its private loan and lower middle market investment portfolios.
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- Dividend Tax Treatment: MSC Income announced a total dividend of $1.44 per share for 2025, with approximately 81% taxed as ordinary income, 18% as qualified dividends, and 1% as long-term capital gains, demonstrating the company's transparency and compliance in tax planning.
- Earnings Release Schedule: MSC Income plans to release its Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 26, 2026, followed by a conference call on February 27, which is expected to attract investor interest regarding its financial performance and future outlook.
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