Japanese Yen Carry Trade, Explained. What to Know About the Unwinding That Is Crashing the Stock Market.
Impact of Yen Strength: A significant global stock selloff is occurring due to the surging Japanese yen, which has risen over 10% against the U.S. dollar, causing issues with carry trades that involve borrowing in yen and investing in higher-yielding assets abroad.
Risks of Carry Trade Unwind: The unwinding of these carry trades poses risks for investors, potentially leading to margin calls and further market volatility, while also affecting companies that manufacture in Japan and sell internationally, such as Toyota and Honda.
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Analyst Views on USDJPY

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- Dollar Performance: President Donald Trump claims the dollar is "doing great" despite its ongoing decline.
- Market Reactions: Investors in gold and major S&P 500 companies with foreign earnings may have a different perspective on the dollar's performance.
- White House Stance: The White House appears comfortable with a weaker dollar, which raises concerns in the market.
- Investor Sentiment: The mixed reactions highlight the complexities of currency valuation and its impact on various investment sectors.
U.S. Intervention Speculation: Wall Street is abuzz with speculation regarding the U.S. potentially intervening in Japan's currency market.
Uncertainty of Actions: It remains unclear whether the U.S. Treasury Department has actually taken any concrete actions in this regard.
Reason for Consideration: The article raises questions about why Secretary Scott Bessent would even contemplate such intervention.
Market Reactions: The discussions around this potential intervention are causing notable reactions in the financial markets.

Gold Price Surge: Gold has reached a new record high, surpassing $4,400 an ounce.
Market Implications: This increase is seen as a sign that the "great debasement trade" is returning, according to strategist Robin Brooks.
Expert Insight: Robin Brooks is a senior economist at the Brookings Institution and has previously served as chief currency strategist at Goldman Sachs.
Economic Context: The surge in gold prices reflects broader economic trends and investor sentiment regarding currency debasement.
Market Performance: The S&P 500 has been fluctuating within a narrow range of 180 points since early December, remaining just below record highs.
Investor Sentiment: Bullish sentiment among equity investors has been limited due to recent declines in major tech stocks like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Broadcom.

- Bank of Japan Rate Increase: The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark lending rate to the highest level in 30 years.
- Future Policy Tightening: The central bank indicated potential further tightening of monetary policy as the domestic economy shows improvement.
- Impact of Tariffs: The effects of tariffs on U.S. exports are expected to diminish into the next year.
- Economic Context: The rate hike reflects a response to ongoing economic conditions and trends within Japan.

- Interest Rate Decisions: Several European central banks are expected to maintain steady interest rates during their upcoming meetings.
- Bank of England's Exception: The Bank of England is anticipated to take a different approach, likely adjusting its interest rates.








