Increasing LLY YieldBoost from 0.6% to 6% Through Options Strategies
Dividend Predictability: Dividend amounts are generally unpredictable and fluctuate with company profitability; Eli Lilly's recent dividend yield is assessed at 0.6% based on historical data.
Options Trading Analysis: The analysis of Eli Lilly's stock options, particularly the January 2028 covered call at the $1260 strike, considers the stock's historical volatility of 41% to evaluate risk versus reward.
Current Market Activity: On a recent trading day, S&P 500 put volume was 818,697 contracts compared to 1.67 million call contracts, indicating a strong preference for calls among traders.
Author's Perspective: The opinions expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
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Eli Lilly's Earnings Report Outlook for 2025
- Earnings Release Date: Eli Lilly is set to report its Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings on February 4, and while it has shown strong performance in recent years, earnings season can sometimes surprise investors, leading to stock price volatility.
- Historical Stock Reactions: The stock's response to recent earnings has been mixed; after strong Q3 results and positive guidance, the stock rose, yet it fell sharply after solid Q2 performance due to disappointing phase 3 clinical trial data, indicating uncertainty in market reactions.
- Market Expectations and Challenges: With a current P/E ratio of 32.5, significantly above the healthcare average of 18.6, Eli Lilly will need to deliver much better-than-expected revenue growth and strong guidance, particularly related to clinical data for its diabetes drug tirzepatide, to drive stock price increases.
- Long-term Investment Outlook: Although short-term stock movements are unpredictable, Eli Lilly remains a leader in the rapidly growing weight management market, planning to launch new products orforglipron and retatrutide in the next two years, and with a dividend yield of 0.6% and a doubled dividend over five years, it presents a compelling long-term investment opportunity.

EU Drug Regulator Rejects Mounjaro for Heart Failure Indication
- Indication Rejection: The European Medicines Agency (EMA) declined Eli Lilly's application to expand Mounjaro (tirzepatide) for heart failure, indicating challenges in market expansion for the drug in this therapeutic area.
- Current Use Confirmation: Mounjaro is currently utilized in the EU for weight management in obese or overweight individuals, combined with diet and exercise, demonstrating its effectiveness under existing indications.
- Label Update Approved: Despite the rejection for heart failure, the EMA agreed to update Mounjaro's label to include relevant data supporting the HFpEF indication application, potentially aiding future marketing efforts.
- Market Impact Assessment: This rejection may negatively affect Eli Lilly's market expectations, particularly as competition intensifies in the heart failure treatment space, potentially leading to decreased investor confidence in the company's future growth.






