Validea James P. O'Shaughnessy Strategy Daily Upgrade Report - 5/13/2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 13 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. Rating Update: The stock rating for AMC Entertainment Holdings has improved from 75% to 100% based on the analysis of its fundamentals and valuation, indicating strong interest according to James P. O'Shaughnessy's investment strategy.
Company Overview: AMC is a movie exhibition company operating approximately 870 theatres and 9,700 screens globally, primarily in the U.S. and Europe, offering a variety of food and beverage options beyond traditional concessions.
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Analyst Views on AMC
Wall Street analysts forecast AMC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMC is 2.15 USD with a low forecast of 1.30 USD and a high forecast of 3.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 1.430
Low
1.30
Averages
2.15
High
3.00
Current: 1.430
Low
1.30
Averages
2.15
High
3.00
About AMC
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. is a movie exhibition company. The Company is principally involved in the theatrical exhibition business and owns, operates or has interests in theatres primarily located in the United States and Europe. The Company operates through two segments: U.S. markets and International markets. In the U.S. markets segment, it owns, leases or operates theatres in 41 states and the District of Columbia. The International markets segment has operations in or partial interest in theatres in the United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, Italy, Ireland, Portugal, Sweden, Finland, Norway, and Denmark. Its brands include AMC, AMC CLASSIC and others. It also offers food and beverage alternatives beyond traditional concession items, including collectible concession vessels, made-to-order meals, customized coffee, healthy snacks, beer, wine, premium cocktails, and dine-in theatre options. It operates approximately 870 theatres and 9,700 screens across the globe.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
AMC Entertainment Secures Debt Refinancing Agreement
- Debt Restructuring Agreement: AMC has reached an agreement with lenders of Muvico, LLC to provide additional debt refinancing flexibility, which is expected to extend debt maturities and reduce related interest expenses, thereby enhancing the company's capital structure and liquidity.
- Financial Preview: AMC anticipates fourth-quarter total revenue of approximately $1.29 billion, falling short of analysts' forecast of $1.38 billion, with an expected net loss of about $127.4 million, indicating ongoing challenges in revenue and profitability.
- Annual Outlook: For 2025, AMC expects total revenue of approximately $4.85 billion, an increase from $4.64 billion in 2024, but anticipates a net loss widening to $632.4 million, reflecting a slow recovery in the industry.
- Stock Performance: AMC shares are currently trading at $1.42, 9.3% below the 20-day simple moving average, indicating a bearish trend in the short term, with a 55.45% decline over the past 12 months, highlighting ongoing market pressures.
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AMC's Q4 Revenue Forecast Falls Short of Expectations
- Revenue Forecast Decline: AMC is projected to report Q4 revenue of approximately $1.28 billion, falling short of the consensus estimate of $1.29 billion and down from $1.31 billion a year earlier, indicating a sluggish recovery in the cinema industry.
- Narrowing Net Loss: While the expected Q4 net loss is anticipated to narrow to about $127.4 million from $135.6 million in the prior year, the full-year net loss is projected to widen to approximately $632.4 million, reflecting ongoing financial pressures on the company.
- Decline in Adjusted EBITDA: AMC's adjusted EBITDA is forecasted at around $134.1 million, down from $164.8 million last year, highlighting persistent challenges in profitability, although full-year EBITDA is expected to improve to roughly $387.5 million.
- Debt Restructuring Agreement: AMC has reached an agreement with creditors to amend certain debt terms, facilitating easier refinancing, and will pay an $18.9 million consent premium to enhance capital structure flexibility, thereby improving liquidity and reducing capital costs.
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