Costa Expects Q1 2025 Adjusted EPS Between $1.00 and $1.20
Commenting on the outlook for full-year 2025, Costa said, "We entered 2026 with momentum on key initiatives to improve our financial results compared to 2025. Given the continued macro uncertainty, which has been a headwind for our industry for over four years, we remain focused on self-help measures that will deliver value this year. First, we are increasing our cost structure reduction actions to a range of $125 million to $150 million, building upon the actions already taken in 2025. Second, we continue to benefit from our innovation model creating growth with the largest driver being our methanolysis facility. Third, we expect improved manufacturing utilization including fewer shutdowns. Given the economic uncertainty and with a focus on driving cash flow, we are expanding our commercial activities into several targeted applications to increase utilization rates. Fourth, we expect a tailwind from foreign currency exchange rates. These factors are expected to be partially offset by headwinds that include variable compensation expense resetting. In addition, we expect lower spreads in Chemical Intermediates and a modest price decline in Fibers to hold volume stable, as well as higher energy costs. When putting these factors together, we are confident we can meaningfully improve earnings compared to 2025. With these assumptions, we also expect operating cash flow to be similar to 2025. At this time, we are not providing a full-year adjusted EPS range due to significant macroeconomic uncertainty. We aim to provide forward-looking commentary when we have more clarity on the macroeconomy. When looking at the first quarter, we expect a substantial sequential increase in adjusted EPS. Tailwinds include solid growth in volume/mix from normal seasonality and reduced customer caution after year-end customer inventory management. We also expect lower shutdown costs, improved utilization and continuing cost reduction actions. These tailwinds are expected to be partially offset by modestly lower prices in Fibers and Chemical Intermediates as well as higher energy costs. When putting these factors together, we expect first-quarter adjusted EPS to be between $1.00 and $1.20, excluding the potential impact from the ongoing winter storms."
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Eastman Chemical Set to Report Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement Date: Eastman Chemical (EMN) is set to release its Q4 earnings on January 29th after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.72, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 61.5%, indicating substantial pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $2.02 billion, down 10.2% year-over-year, which highlights the negative impact of weak market demand on the company's performance and may lead to decreased investor confidence.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Eastman has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time but only 50% for revenue, indicating volatility in earnings that could affect future investment decisions.
- Revised Expectations: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates, with 14 downward adjustments, and similarly, revenue estimates saw no upward revisions and 11 downward adjustments, reflecting a weakening market outlook for the company.

Eastman Chemical Q4 Revenue Misses Estimates, Shares Drop
- Revenue Decline: Eastman Chemical reported fourth-quarter revenue of $1.97 billion, down from the previous year and below analysts' expectations of $2.02 billion, resulting in a 2.2% drop in after-hours trading due to lower volumes across multiple end markets.
- Earnings Performance: Although adjusted earnings per share were $0.75, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.72, net income was still impacted by overall revenue decline, highlighting the challenges the company faces in the current economic environment.
- Market Pressures: Sales fell across all major segments, particularly in chemical intermediates and fibers, primarily due to customer inventory destocking and competitive pressures in global commodity markets, exacerbating the decline in performance.
- Future Outlook: Eastman anticipates earnings improvement in 2026 driven by deeper cost reductions and higher utilization rates, although the company refrained from providing a full-year adjusted earnings forecast due to macroeconomic uncertainties.









