China's AI Strategy: China is adopting a pragmatic approach to artificial intelligence, focusing on practical applications and a national AI fund of $8.42 billion, contrasting with the U.S.'s massive investment strategies.
Investment Trends: State-backed funds are increasingly supporting Chinese startups in hardware and AI, while foreign investment has slowed, reflecting a shift in focus from software to hardware development.
Market Position: Despite challenges in advanced chip technology, local companies are producing competitive AI models, with over 40% of U.S. firms in China acknowledging that local rivals are ahead in AI adoption.
Economic Indicators: China's exports to the U.S. have significantly declined, while consumer prices fell 0.4% year-over-year in August, indicating economic pressures, despite some optimism about the overall economy.
Wall Street analysts forecast XPEV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for XPEV is 29.67 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 50.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast XPEV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for XPEV is 29.67 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 50.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 19.930
Low
20.00
Averages
29.67
High
50.00
Current: 19.930
Low
20.00
Averages
29.67
High
50.00
Freedom Capital
Roman Lukianchikov
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$20 -> $25
2026-01-06
Reason
Freedom Capital
Roman Lukianchikov
Price Target
$20 -> $25
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
As previously reported, Freedom Capital analyst Roman Lukianchikov upgraded XPeng to Buy from Hold with a price target of $25, up from $20, on positive performance trends. The firm says the company's results exceeded expectations, but the outlook was dampened by weak guidance for the next quarter. Innovation has enabled the launch of the low-cost sub-brand Mona, driving revenue growth, while greater technological sophistication has allowed XPeng to price its premium vehicles above competitors, supporting margins, Freedom adds.
Freedom Capital
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$20 -> $25
2026-01-06
Reason
Freedom Capital
Price Target
$20 -> $25
2026-01-06
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Freedom Capital upgraded XPeng to Buy from Hold with a price target of $25, up from $20.
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Daiwa
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$29
2025-11-18
Reason
Daiwa
Price Target
$29
2025-11-18
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Daiwa upgraded XPeng to Buy from Hold with a $29 price target. The firm cites the company's additional total addressable market opportunities from robotaxis and robots for the upgrade.
BofA
BofA
Buy
maintain
$27 -> $28
2025-11-17
Reason
BofA
BofA
Price Target
$27 -> $28
2025-11-17
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on XPeng to $28 from $27 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company reported Q3 results and highlighted its upcoming VLA 2.0 model will feature ten times the parameters than its previous world model. Factoring in Q3 results and the latest model pipelines, the firm lowers its XPeng's 2025 volume sales estimate by 1%, but lifts its 2026 and 2027 volume sales forecasts by 3% and 5%, respectively.
About XPEV
XPeng Inc is a holding company mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacturing and marketing of smart electrical vehicles (EVs). The Company develops full-stack advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) software in house and has deployed such software on mass-produced vehicles. The Company offers various models, including G9 (mid- to large-sized sport utility vehicle (SUV), P7i (sports sedan), G6 (coupe SUV), X9 (seven-seater multi-purpose vehicle (MPV)), MONA M03 (sedan) and P7+ (family sedan). The Company operates stores across China, including both stores directly operated by the Company and franchised stores. The Company also offers technical research and development services, services embedded in a sales contract, maintenance service, supercharging service.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
