Citi Selects LAOPU GOLD as Leading Choice in China's Jewelry Market, Anticipates Continued Triple-Digit Growth
Market Outlook for LAOPU GOLD: A survey indicates that LAOPU GOLD is expected to maintain its triple-digit growth despite a recent pullback in gold prices, with limited impact on sales according to Citi's research report.
Competitive Landscape: The high-end gold jewelry market is expanding rapidly, which restricts the ability of new entrants to compete with LAOPU GOLD.
Analyst Recommendations: Citi has identified LAOPU GOLD as a top pick in China's jewelry sector, assigning a target price of HKD1,119 and a Buy rating.
Short Selling Data: As of February 3, 2026, LAOPU GOLD has a short selling amount of $77.18 million, with a ratio of 11.790%.
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JPMorgan's Optimism: JPMorgan has a more optimistic outlook on LAOPU GOLD (06181.HK) compared to the market, citing factors such as improved brand equity, new product launches, and favorable gold price trends.
Stable Performance: The report emphasizes LAOPU GOLD's stable performance, which addresses investor concerns regarding high base effects and consumer behavior amidst gold price fluctuations.
Target Price and Rating: JPMorgan has set a target price of HKD1,296 for LAOPU GOLD and assigned it an Overweight rating, indicating strong potential for growth.
Short-term Catalysts: Key short-term catalysts for LAOPU GOLD include retail sales during the Chinese New Year, upcoming product price increases, and plans for overseas expansion.

Market Outlook for LAOPU GOLD: A survey indicates that LAOPU GOLD is expected to maintain its triple-digit growth despite a recent pullback in gold prices, with limited impact on sales according to Citi's research report.
Competitive Landscape: The high-end gold jewelry market is expanding rapidly, which restricts the ability of new entrants to compete with LAOPU GOLD.
Analyst Recommendations: Citi has identified LAOPU GOLD as a top pick in China's jewelry sector, assigning a target price of HKD1,119 and a Buy rating.
Short Selling Data: As of February 3, 2026, LAOPU GOLD has a short selling amount of $77.18 million, with a ratio of 11.790%.

Gold Jewelry Consumption Outlook: BOCI predicts that gold jewelry consumption will remain strong in the first quarter of 2026, despite recent fluctuations in gold prices.
Winners in the Market: High-end retailers like LAOPU GOLD are expected to thrive due to their ability to support high premiums, alongside retailers with a strong presence in Hong Kong and Macau.
Top Industry Pick: BOCI has identified LUK FOOK HOLD as its top pick in the industry and has raised its target price to HKD 35.9.
Market Sentiment on Gold Prices: G Sachs views the current gold price as uncertain, projecting a year-end price of USD 5,400, while also noting potential volatility in silver prices.

Positive Growth for LAOPU GOLD: The Hurun Chinese Luxury Consumer Survey indicates that LAOPU GOLD has risen from 8th to 3rd place among favorite jewelry brands for high-net-worth individuals in China, despite a contraction in the luxury market.
Citi's Favorable Outlook: Citi research highlights LAOPU GOLD as a top pick in the Chinese jewelry industry, citing the growing preference for gold collectibles among high-net-worth consumers and a target price of HKD1,119 with a Buy rating.

China's Jewelry Market Growth: Goldman Sachs forecasts a slowdown in China's jewelry market growth to 4% in 2026, down from approximately 10% in 2025, due to high base effects and unstable consumption power, maintaining a Neutral outlook for the sector.
Gold Price Predictions: The broker anticipates gold prices will reach USD 5,400 per ounce by the end of 2026, representing a 25% year-over-year increase, with demand supported by rising prices but facing challenges in product margins and sales consumption.
Market Performance: The jewelry sector's stock prices have outperformed the Hang Seng Index (HSI), indicating a strong market performance despite the anticipated slowdown in growth.
Investment Recommendations: Goldman Sachs has a Buy rating on LAOPU GOLD (06181.HK), citing growth opportunities and setting a target price of HKD 1,128, despite current short selling pressures.

Revenue Growth Prediction: CMSI forecasts that LAOPU GOLD will experience a significant slowdown in revenue growth, dropping from 220% in 2025 to approximately 30% in 2026.
Marketing Strategy Concerns: The company's current revenue is largely driven by FOMO marketing tactics rather than genuine sales growth, which raises concerns about its sustainability compared to true luxury brands.
Deteriorating Earnings Quality: The report indicates a decline in LAOPU GOLD's earnings quality, with a conservative store expansion plan focusing more on efficiency than growth, limiting its market presence.
Investment Rating and Target Price: CMSI has assigned an Underweight rating to LAOPU GOLD, setting a target price of HKD825.5 for the stock.





