Cineverse Set to Release Q3 Earnings on February 17
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 12 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy CNVS?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement: Cineverse is set to announce its Q3 earnings on February 17 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.03, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 108.8%, indicating serious profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline: Analysts project Cineverse's Q3 revenue to be $20 million, down 50.9% year-over-year, highlighting the pressures the company faces in a competitive market and the challenges to its growth trajectory.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Cineverse has only beaten EPS estimates 13% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, indicating considerable volatility in its performance and suggesting that investors should approach future expectations with caution.
- Financing and Acquisition Activity: Cineverse recently completed a $3.0 million public offering at $2.00 per share and plans to acquire IndiCue for $22 million, which may significantly impact its future financial health and market positioning.
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Analyst Views on CNVS
Wall Street analysts forecast CNVS stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 2.080
Low
6.00
Averages
7.50
High
9.00
Current: 2.080
Low
6.00
Averages
7.50
High
9.00
About CNVS
Cineverse Corp. is a global streaming technology and entertainment company. The Company's business is operating as a portfolio of owned and operated streaming channels; a global aggregator and full-service distributor of feature films and television programs, and a technology software-as-a-service platform for over-the-top app development and content distribution through subscription video on demand (SVOD), dedicated ad-supported (AVOD), ad-supported streaming linear (FAST) channels, social video streaming services, and audio podcasts. Its streaming channels reach audiences in several distinct ways: direct-to-consumer, through these major application platforms, and through third party distributors of content on platforms. The Company's streaming technology platform, known as Matchpoint, is a software-based streaming operating platform which provides clients with AVOD, SVOD, transactional video on demand (TVOD) and linear capabilities, automates the distribution of content, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

Cineverse Acquisition: Cineverse has acquired a profitable connected TV monetization platform, enhancing its capabilities in the digital content distribution space.
Expansion of Infrastructure: The deal aims to expand Cineverse's high-margin infrastructure, which is essential for modern content distribution.
Focus on Modern Content: The acquisition positions Cineverse to better power and distribute contemporary content across various platforms.
Strategic Growth: This move is part of Cineverse's strategy to strengthen its market presence and improve profitability in the evolving media landscape.
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- Earnings Announcement: Cineverse is set to announce its Q3 earnings on February 17 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.03, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 108.8%, indicating serious profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline: Analysts project Cineverse's Q3 revenue to be $20 million, down 50.9% year-over-year, highlighting the pressures the company faces in a competitive market and the challenges to its growth trajectory.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Cineverse has only beaten EPS estimates 13% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, indicating considerable volatility in its performance and suggesting that investors should approach future expectations with caution.
- Financing and Acquisition Activity: Cineverse recently completed a $3.0 million public offering at $2.00 per share and plans to acquire IndiCue for $22 million, which may significantly impact its future financial health and market positioning.
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- IndiCue Acquisition: Cineverse is integrating IndiCue's solutions into its Matchpoint platform, which is expected to enhance content distribution and monetization capabilities, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the streaming market.
- Financial Outlook Improvement: Cineverse anticipates fiscal 2027 revenue between $115 million and $120 million, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $10 million and $20 million, indicating a positive impact on future financial performance from the acquisition.
- Successful Public Offering: Cineverse successfully priced its public offering of 1.5 million Class A shares at $2 per share, raising $3 million, which will be utilized to finance the acquisition of IndiCue and strengthen the company's capital structure.
- Positive Market Reaction: Cineverse's stock surged 20% following the acquisition announcement, with market sentiment turning bullish, and projections suggest the company's market capitalization could reach $500 million within 24 months, reflecting investor confidence in its growth potential.
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- Revenue Expectations: Cineverse anticipates achieving $115-$120 million in revenue and $10-$20 million in adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2027, indicating strong growth potential in its transition to technology-driven revenue.
- Strategic Acquisition Integration: By acquiring IndiCue, Cineverse integrates advertising technology directly into its Matchpoint platform, enhancing efficiency in content distribution and monetization, thereby strengthening its competitive edge in the streaming market.
- Customer Base Expansion: IndiCue currently has over 40 active clients and 75 publishers onboarding, expected to generate approximately $38 million in revenue in 2026, further solidifying Cineverse's market position in ad-supported streaming.
- Financing and Team Integration: The acquisition was financed by existing long-term shareholders, and Cineverse raised $13 million in convertible notes to support the transaction, while IndiCue's founding team joined Cineverse, enhancing the company's technological capabilities.
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- Revenue Growth Projection: Cineverse anticipates revenue for fiscal year 2027 to reach $115-$120 million, with technology platform revenues accounting for over 50%, indicating a successful transition to a technology-driven revenue model.
- EBITDA Growth Potential: Following the acquisition of IndiCue, Cineverse expects adjusted EBITDA to reach $10-$20 million in fiscal year 2027, reflecting the accretive nature of the transaction and ongoing margin expansion.
- Advertising Technology Integration: IndiCue's advertising and monetization capabilities will be integrated directly into Cineverse's Matchpoint platform, enabling real-time optimization of advertising revenue and enhancing the market competitiveness and profitability of content.
- Strategic Acquisition Completion: This acquisition signifies the near completion of Cineverse's strategic goal to build a comprehensive, scalable infrastructure solution for the entertainment industry, strengthening the company's competitive advantage in the rapidly evolving streaming market.
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- Company Overview: CINEVERSE Corp is projecting significant revenue growth for the fiscal year 2027.
- Revenue Expectations: The expected revenue range for CINEVERSE in 2027 is between $115 million and $120 million.
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