Caledonia Mining Under Investigation Amid 14.41% Stock Drop Following Royalty Changes
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 06 2026
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Source: Globenewswire
- Investigation Launched: Pomerantz LLP is investigating whether Caledonia Mining has engaged in securities fraud or other unlawful business practices, which could undermine investor confidence and lead to potential legal liabilities.
- Profitability Under Pressure: On December 1, 2025, Caledonia disclosed that proposed changes to Zimbabwe's 2026 gold mining royalty and tax regimes could reduce profitability and cash flow at its Blanket Mine, potentially falling short of current market expectations.
- Significant Stock Drop: Following this news, Caledonia Mining's stock price fell by $4.44, or 14.41%, closing at $26.37 per share, reflecting market concerns regarding the company's future profitability.
- Increased Legal Risks: As the investigation unfolds, Caledonia Mining may face the risk of class action lawsuits, which could further impact shareholder confidence and the company's reputation.
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Analyst Views on CMCL
Wall Street analysts forecast CMCL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMCL is 45.00 USD with a low forecast of 45.00 USD and a high forecast of 45.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 32.330
Low
45.00
Averages
45.00
High
45.00
Current: 32.330
Low
45.00
Averages
45.00
High
45.00
About CMCL
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc is a gold production, exploration and development company focused on Zimbabwe. The Company owns a 64% stake in the gold-producing Blanket Mine (Blanket), 100% stakes in the Bilboes mine and the Motapa and Maligreen gold mining claims, all situated in Zimbabwe. The Blanket Gold Mine is a Zimbabwean gold mine, which operates at a depth of approximately 750 meters below surface and produced approximately 55,000 ounces of gold. Blanket also holds brownfield exploration and development projects both on the existing mine area and on its satellite properties which are within trucking distance of the Blanket metallurgical recovery plant. It also holds the Motapa gold exploration property in Southern Zimbabwe. The Maligreen project is a property situated in the Gweru mining district in the Zimbabwe Midlands. The Bilboes is a large, high grade gold deposit located approximately 75 kilometers (km) north of Bulawayo, Zimbabwe.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Caledonia Mining (CMCL) Raises $150M for Bilboes Project Funding
- Record Financing: Caledonia Mining raised $150M through a seven-year convertible senior notes offering, marking the largest international capital raising in over a decade for Zimbabwe, reflecting strong market confidence in its projects.
- Project Potential: The Bilboes project is expected to become Zimbabwe's largest gold mine, with production slated to begin in late 2028 and anticipated annual output of 200K ounces starting in 2029 for an initial 10-year period, significantly enhancing the company's capacity.
- Strong Investor Demand: The bond issuance attracted over $600M in demand from high-quality North American investors, demonstrating the strength of Caledonia's strategy, asset quality, and operational track record, thereby boosting confidence in the company's future.
- Clear Strategic Positioning: The debt issuance is part of Caledonia's broader financing strategy aimed at supporting the Bilboes project, further solidifying its market position in the gold mining industry.
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Caledonia Mining (CMCL) Announces $125M Convertible Notes Placement to Fund Bilboes Gold Project Development
- Financing Plan: Caledonia Mining has announced a $125 million upsized placement of convertible senior notes, primarily aimed at funding the development of the Bilboes project in Zimbabwe, which is expected to become the country's largest gold producer.
- Production Outlook: The company anticipates that gold production in 2025 will be nearly identical to 2024, with Blanket mine output at 76,213 ounces, aligning with its guidance of 75,000-79,500 ounces, although slightly down from 76,656 ounces in 2024.
- Cost Warning: For FY 2026, all-in sustaining costs are projected to be between $2,100 and $2,300 per ounce, reflecting higher direct operating costs at Blanket due to inflation and increased expenses compared to the first nine months of 2025.
- Executive Departure: COO James Mufara has left the company, which may impact operations and strategic direction, particularly during this critical phase of project development.
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