Brokers Anticipate 31% Increase in HKEX 2025 Net Profit; Emphasis on IPO and Business Reform Strategies
HKEX 2025 Results Announcement: HKEX is set to announce its 2025 results on February 26, with projected net profits ranging from HKD 16.721 billion to HKD 17.346 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.1-32.9% from HKD 13.05 billion in 2024.
Factors Driving Profit Growth: The anticipated profit growth is attributed to a significant increase in Hong Kong stock trading activity, with an average daily turnover of HKD 249.8 billion last year, and a 2.25x rise in IPO fundraising to HKD 285.8 billion.
Investor Focus Areas: Investors are keen to hear HKEX management's insights on various topics, including lot size optimization, T+1 settlement, public float requirements, and IPO business reviews.
Broker Forecasts: Seven brokers have provided forecasts for HKEX's 2025 net profit, with UBS predicting the highest at HKD 17.346 billion, while BofA Securities estimates the lowest at HKD 16.721 billion.
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Record Growth in ECM: Hong Kong's equity capital market (ECM) experienced a remarkable 164% year-over-year growth in 2025, reaching USD 103 billion in fundraising.
Top IPO Venue: The city emerged as the world's leading venue for IPO fundraising, with a 231% increase in IPO fundraising to USD 37.4 billion, including two of the five largest IPOs globally.
US Tech Stocks Performance: US tech stocks saw a rebound, with the Nasdaq increasing by 0.9% on the 9th of the month.
Hong Kong Market Opening: The Hong Kong bourse opened higher, with the HSI up 0.6%, HSCEI up 0.6%, and HSTECH up 0.8%.
Major Tech Stocks Movement: Key tech companies like TENCENT, KUAISHOU, and JD-SW opened higher, while MEITUAN-W saw little change.
Financial Sector Updates: HSBC and HKEX also opened higher, while LONGFOR GROUP reported a significant drop in contracted sales, affecting its stock performance.

Market Performance: The HSI rose by 1.8% to close at 27,027, with significant gains in the HSCEI and HSTECH, while total market turnover reached $255.142 billion.
Insurance Sector Gains: Chinese insurers, particularly CHINA LIFE and PING AN, saw substantial increases of 4% and 4.9%, respectively, following PING AN's stake increase in CHINA LIFE.
Financial Stocks Rise: Major financial institutions like HSBC and HKEX experienced gains between 2.6% and 3.4%, contributing to a positive trend in the financial sector.
Tech and AI Stocks Surge: Tech stocks rebounded, with TENCENT and BIDU-SW rising over 2%, while AI-related stocks like KNOWLEDGE ATLAS soared by 36.2%, reflecting strong investor interest.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 467 points (1.8%) to close at 27,027, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also saw gains, closing at 5,417 and 9,168 respectively, with a total market turnover of $255.14 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Notable stocks included PING AN, which increased by 4.9% to $73, and HKEX, which rose by 2.7% to $418.6. Other significant movers were TENCENT (+2.3%) and BABA (+1.9%), while MEITUAN experienced a slight decline of 0.4%.
Top Gainers: Among HSI and HSCEI constituents, INNOVENT BIO surged by 7.4%, POP MART by 5.8%, and ZIJIN MINING by 5.6%. Other notable gainers included SMIC and CHINA LIFE, both showing significant increases.
Decliners and High Performers: REALORD GROUP saw a sharp decline of 15.5%, while FIT HON TENG and CHINA EAST EDU experienced substantial gains of 14.1% and 13.3%, respectively, indicating a mixed performance across different sectors.

Market Performance: The HSI rose 1.5% to 26,945, with significant gains in the HSCEI and HSTECH, while total half-day turnover reached $136.256 billion.
Insurance Sector Gains: Chinese insurers like CHINA LIFE and PING AN saw increases of 4.5% and 4.1%, respectively, following PING AN's stake increase in CHINA LIFE.
Financial Stocks Surge: Major financial stocks including HSBC and HKEX experienced gains between 2.6% and 3.0%, contributing to a positive market sentiment.
Consumer Stocks Rally: Companies like POP MART and CTG DUTY-FREE reported substantial increases, with POP MART noted for its potential upside based on investor positions and upcoming product designs.

Market Performance: The HSI rose by 385 points (1.5%) to 26,945, while the HSTI and HSCEI also saw gains of 55 points (1.0%) and 111 points (1.2%) respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Notable stocks included PING AN (+4.1%), HKEX (+2.8%), and BABA (+1.9%), with significant short selling activity reported for each.
Top Gainers: INNOVENT BIO and POP MART led the gains among HSI & HSCEI constituents, rising by 5.9% and 5.8% respectively, while KUAISHOU-W experienced a notable decline of 4.3%.
Significant Movements: CHINA EAST EDU and CHINA LIT saw substantial increases of 11.9% and 10.1%, while REALORD GROUP faced a significant drop of 10%.






