BofAS Lowers JD LOGISTICS Target Price to HKD15, Anticipates 4% Decline in Non-IFRS Net Profit Last Year
Profit Forecast: BofA Securities predicts JD LOGISTICS' 4Q25 non-IFRS net profit to grow by 1% YoY to RMB2.254 billion, but expects a 4% YoY decline for the entire year of 2025, falling short of previous growth guidance.
Market Challenges: The report cites profit margin pressure in 4Q25 due to increased competition in the less-than-truckload transportation market and one-time losses.
Target Price Adjustment: BofA Securities has lowered its target price for JD LOGISTICS from HKD16 to HKD15 while maintaining a Buy rating, highlighting the company's attractive valuation.
Short Selling Data: As of January 6, 2026, JD LOGISTICS has reported short selling of $11.68 million with a ratio of 23.423%.
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JD Airlines Launch: JD Logistics' subsidiary, JD Airlines, has initiated a regular international cargo route connecting Wuhan and Bangkok.
First Flight Details: The inaugural flight, utilizing a B737-800BCF freighter, departed from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport carrying cross-border e-commerce parcels and high-value electronic products.
Company Announcement: JD Logistics' subsidiary, JD Airlines, has launched a dedicated air cargo route for transporting beef and mutton from Xining, Qinghai Province.
Logistics Improvement: This new route aims to enhance the efficiency and freshness of beef and mutton distribution from Northwest China to major consumption areas across the country.

New Warehouse Opening: JD LOGISTICS has opened a new logistics warehouse in Changle County, Weifang, Shandong Province, covering over 14,000 square meters.
Operational Capacity: The warehouse can store nearly 100,000 SKU products and is capable of processing more than 20,000 outbound orders daily.
US Market Performance: US bank stocks were weak, with the DJIA dropping 42 points, while Hong Kong's stock market also opened lower, reflecting a slight decline across major indices.
Alibaba's AI Launch: Alibaba's Qianwen platform is set to introduce an "AI life assistant" that simplifies ordering takeout and finding restaurants through single-sentence commands.
TRIP.COM Investigation: TRIP.COM is under investigation for suspected monopolistic practices, leading to a significant drop in its stock price, with its ADR falling 17% overnight.
Strategic Partnerships in Logistics: J&T Express and SF Holding have entered a strategic cross-shareholding agreement worth HK$8.3 billion, resulting in positive stock performance for both companies.

Profit Forecast: BofA Securities predicts JD LOGISTICS' 4Q25 non-IFRS net profit to grow by 1% YoY to RMB2.254 billion, but expects a 4% YoY decline for the entire year of 2025, falling short of previous growth guidance.
Market Challenges: The report cites profit margin pressure in 4Q25 due to increased competition in the less-than-truckload transportation market and one-time losses.
Target Price Adjustment: BofA Securities has lowered its target price for JD LOGISTICS from HKD16 to HKD15 while maintaining a Buy rating, highlighting the company's attractive valuation.
Short Selling Data: As of January 6, 2026, JD LOGISTICS has reported short selling of $11.68 million with a ratio of 23.423%.

Company Performance: JD Logistics reported strong growth in 4FQ25, but faced challenges including non-recurring cargo compensation losses and restructuring due to market competition.
Analyst Adjustments: Daiwa lowered its FY2025-2027 EPS forecasts by 5-7% and reduced the target price from $19 to $17, while maintaining a Buy rating.








