Autoliv Set to Release Q4 Earnings on January 30
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1d ago
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Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement: Autoliv is set to announce its Q4 earnings on January 30 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $2.88, reflecting a 5.6% year-over-year decline, while revenue is expected to reach $2.77 billion, indicating a 5.7% year-over-year growth, showcasing the company's resilience amid market fluctuations.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Autoliv has exceeded EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, indicating a level of reliability and market confidence in the company's financial performance.
- Forecast Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and six downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced two upward revisions and seven downward revisions, reflecting analysts' mixed and cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Dividend Increase: Autoliv has raised its dividend by 2.4% to $0.87 per share, demonstrating confidence in future cash flows and commitment to shareholders despite mounting risks, which may enhance investor sentiment and support stock stability.
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Analyst Views on ALV
Wall Street analysts forecast ALV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALV is 141.20 USD with a low forecast of 125.00 USD and a high forecast of 152.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 126.430
Low
125.00
Averages
141.20
High
152.00
Current: 126.430
Low
125.00
Averages
141.20
High
152.00
About ALV
Autoliv, Inc. is a developer, manufacturer, and supplier of safety systems to the automotive industry with a range of product offerings, primarily passive safety systems. Passive safety systems include modules and components for frontal-impact airbag protection systems, side-impact airbag protection systems, seatbelts, steering wheels, inflator technologies and battery cut-off switches. The Company also develops and manufactures mobility safety solutions, such as pedestrian protection, battery cut-off switches, connected safety services and safety solutions for riders of powered two wheelers. The Company has one operating segment, which includes Autoliv’s airbag and seatbelt products and components. Its subsidiaries include Autoliv AB and Autoliv ASP, Inc. The Company operates its business in geographical regions, such as Europe, the Americas, China, Japan, and the Rest of Asia (ROA). The Company has approximately 62 production facilities in 25 countries.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Autoliv Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings with Strategic Outlook
- Significant Sales Growth: In Q4 2025, Autoliv reported net sales of approximately $2.8 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase, with nearly 40% sales growth from Chinese OEMs, indicating strong performance in rapidly expanding markets and likely reinforcing its market position.
- Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns: The company achieved operating cash flow of $544 million in Q4, a 30% increase from last year, while repurchasing $150 million in shares and paying a dividend of $0.87 per share, reflecting robust cash flow management and commitment to shareholders.
- New Product Strategy: Autoliv's collaboration with Tensor on the first foldable steering wheel is targeted for volume production by late 2026, which could open new market opportunities and enhance future sales growth potential through innovation.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management anticipates flat organic sales for 2026, with growth in China, India, and South America offsetting declines in North America and Europe, while setting an adjusted operating margin target of 10.5% to 11%, demonstrating a cautiously optimistic view of the market ahead.
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Autoliv Achieves Record Quarterly Gross Profit Amid Challenges
- Record Gross Profit: Autoliv (ALV) achieved its highest quarterly gross profit driven by robust sales in India and new product launches, with Q4 sales reaching $2.82 billion, exceeding expectations by $50 million, demonstrating resilience amid challenges.
- Operational Challenges: Despite reporting adjusted earnings of $3.19 per share, beating expectations by $0.31, the company faces negative impacts on production efficiency and profitability due to low customer demand visibility and high call-off volatility, with 2026 expected to remain above pre-pandemic levels.
- Future Outlook: Autoliv anticipates organic sales to remain unchanged in 2026, with an adjusted operating margin forecasted between 10.5% and 11.0%, while navigating geopolitical risks and potential tariff changes that could impact operations.
- Cash Flow and Capex: The company expects operating cash flow of approximately $1.2 billion in 2026, with capital expenditures as a net percentage of sales projected to be below 5%, indicating ongoing efforts to control costs and optimize resource allocation.
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