Modine (MOD) Shares Decline Despite Market Gains: Key Information to Consider Before Trading
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 11 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Modine's Recent Performance: Modine (MOD) closed at $147.05, down 2.94% in the latest trading session, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's gain of 0.85%. However, the stock has risen 6.9% over the past month, outperforming both the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector and the S&P 500.
Upcoming Earnings Expectations: Analysts anticipate Modine will report an EPS of $1.01 and revenue of $690.47 million in its upcoming earnings disclosure, reflecting year-over-year increases. The Zacks Consensus Estimates project full-year earnings of $4.63 per share and revenue of $2.88 billion, indicating significant growth from the previous year.
Analyst Sentiment and Zacks Rank: Modine currently holds a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy), indicating positive analyst sentiment. The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record of identifying stocks that outperform the market, with #1 stocks averaging a 25% annual return since 1988.
Valuation Metrics: Modine's Forward P/E ratio stands at 32.72, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.46, while its PEG ratio is 0.96, suggesting a favorable growth outlook compared to the industry average of 1.3. The Automotive - Original Equipment industry ranks in the top 33% of all industries, indicating strong performance potential.
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Analyst Views on MOD
Wall Street analysts forecast MOD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MOD is 186.60 USD with a low forecast of 173.00 USD and a high forecast of 200.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 146.900
Low
173.00
Averages
186.60
High
200.00
Current: 146.900
Low
173.00
Averages
186.60
High
200.00
About MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company is a provider of thermal management technology and solutions. It is engaged in designing, engineering, testing, and manufacturing mission-critical thermal solutions. Its segment includes Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies. The Climate Solutions segment provides energy-efficient, climate-controlled solutions and components. The Climate Solutions segment provides cooling solutions for data centers that help save water and energy through intelligent controls. The Climate Solutions segment also provides heat exchangers for heating, ventilating, air conditioning and refrigeration applications and anti-corrosive coatings. The Performance Technologies segment provides products and solutions that enhance the performance of customer applications and develops solutions that provide mission-critical energy for a variety of end-market applications. It also designs and manufactures products and solutions using air-cooled and liquid-cooled technology.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Modine Sells Performance Tech to Gentherm for ~$1B, Stock Surges
- Transaction Size: Modine announced the sale of its performance technologies business to Gentherm for approximately $1 billion, representing a valuation of about 6.8 times the adjusted EBITDA for 2025, indicating strong market recognition of its assets.
- Shareholder Benefits: Before the transaction closes, Modine is set to receive a cash distribution of $210 million, while shareholders will receive around 21 million shares of newly issued Gentherm common stock, allowing them to hold approximately 40% of the combined company, enhancing long-term shareholder value.
- Synergy Potential: The combined company is projected to have revenue of $2.6 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 13%, with expected annual synergies of $25 million through cost optimization and operational efficiencies, significantly improving overall financial performance.
- Strategic Implications: Analysts view this transaction as a positive strategic move; while the sale of the entire engine business was unexpected, it does not negatively impact Modine's long-term prospects and may strengthen its focus on climate solutions.
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Modine and Gentherm Merger Overview
- Cash Distribution Expectation: Modine is expected to receive a cash distribution of approximately $210 million from the spun-off unit before the transaction closes, which will enhance its financial flexibility for future business developments.
- Shareholder Structure Change: After the transaction, Modine shareholders will own about 40% of the new combined company, while Gentherm shareholders will hold the remaining 60%, allowing Modine to maintain a significant market presence post-merger.
- Strategic Focus Shift: Following the spin-off of the Performance Technologies division, Modine will concentrate solely on its Climate Solutions segment, particularly targeting the rapidly growing markets of data center cooling and commercial HVAC & refrigeration.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the merger announcement, Modine's stock surged over 17% in early trading on Thursday, reflecting investor optimism about the merger's prospects, with retail sentiment shifting from 'bearish' to 'bullish', indicating strong confidence in future growth.
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