Acquisition Announcement: APi Group (APG) has agreed to acquire CertaSite, a fire and life safety services provider, with the deal expected to close in Q1 2026, pending regulatory approvals.
Financial Impact: CertaSite is projected to generate approximately $90 million in revenue for full-year 2025 and will enhance APi's shareholder value through its asset-light business model and strong cash flow conversion.
2025 Financial Outlook: APi Group anticipates net revenues and adjusted EBITDA for 2025 to meet or exceed previous guidance, with expected figures of $7,875 million and $1,030 million, respectively.
Balance Sheet Strength: The company expects to maintain a strong balance sheet, with a net leverage ratio projected to be below 2.0x by the end of the year.
Wall Street analysts forecast APG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APG is 45.25 USD with a low forecast of 43.00 USD and a high forecast of 49.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast APG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APG is 45.25 USD with a low forecast of 43.00 USD and a high forecast of 49.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 42.360
Low
43.00
Averages
45.25
High
49.00
Current: 42.360
Low
43.00
Averages
45.25
High
49.00
Truist
Buy
maintain
$41 -> $50
2026-01-21
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$41 -> $50
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
maintain
Buy
Reason
Truist raised the firm's price target on APi Group to $50 from $41 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm remains positive on the facility services group in 2026. The sector should be "largely insulated" from macro volatility and AI-driven labor market changes, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Truist names APi Group its top sector pick for 2026. It sees room for Street estimates to rise further given the company's "strong" project demand and multiple expansio. APi still trades at a discount to recent private equity acquisitions of fire safety names, the firm says.
Citi
Andrew Kaplowitz
Buy
maintain
$43 -> $45
2025-12-08
Reason
Citi
Andrew Kaplowitz
Price Target
$43 -> $45
2025-12-08
maintain
Buy
Reason
Citi analyst Andrew Kaplowitz raised the firm's price target on APi Group to $45 from $43 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares as part of a 2026 outlook for the engineering and construction group. The firm sees artificial intelligence driving continued growth for the sector in 2026. Quanta Services remains Citi's top overall pick.
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Barclays
Overweight
maintain
$42 -> $44
2025-11-03
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$42 -> $44
2025-11-03
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on APi Group to $44 from $42 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm says the company is executing well on its "compounding" model.
Citi
Buy
maintain
$42 -> $43
2025-10-31
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$42 -> $43
2025-10-31
maintain
Buy
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on APi Group to $43 from $42 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q3 report.
About APG
APi Group Corporation is a global business services provider of fire and life safety, security, elevator and escalator and specialty services in over 500 locations worldwide. Its segments include Safety Services and Specialty Services. Safety Services segment focuses on end-to-end integrated occupancy systems (fire protection solutions, entry systems, elevators and escalators), including design, installation, inspection, and service of these integrated systems. The work performed within this segment spans across industries and facilities and includes commercial, education, healthcare, high-tech, industrial and special-hazard settings. Specialty Services provides a variety of infrastructure services and specialized industrial plant services, including maintenance and repair of critical infrastructure, such as underground electric, gas, water, sewer, telecommunications infrastructure, and design, installation, inspection, and service of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
