Monero Faces Sustained Pressure, Trading Around $450 After Sharp Decline

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Jan 25 2026

XMR-3.9099998%

MMT-5.765%

Should l Buy XMR?

Significant Price Pullback: Monero (XMR) is currently trading between $447 and $450 after a steep multi-day decline, marking a substantial drop from earlier highs above $700 this month and confirming a clear bearish structure.
Increased Volatility: Market volatility stands at 17.86%, classified as very high, reflecting aggressive price swings during the sell-off; however, the 14-day RSI near 47.5 indicates that the market is not yet deeply oversold.
Technical Indicators Underperform: Monero is trading below its 50-day SMA at $472, which now acts as overhead resistance, while the 200-day SMA at $361 highlights how far the asset has retraced without reaching longer-term support zones.
Bearish Market Sentiment: The Fear & Greed Index reads 25 (Extreme Fear), and while volume has thinned compared to earlier distribution phases, suggesting panic selling may be easing, there are still no clear signs of strong accumulation at current levels.

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Technical Analysis for XMR

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Monero (XMR) As of , Monero (XMR) is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 6 technical signals, shows that 3 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XMR stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, XMR is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Monero (XMR) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	41.88	159.08	266.2	383.4	490.52	607.72	714.84
Fibonacci	159.08	244.77	297.71	383.4	469.09	522.03	607.72

About XMR

Monero was launched in 2014, and its goal is simple: to allow transactions to take place privately and with anonymity. Even though it’s commonly thought that BTC can conceal a person’s identity, it’s often easy to trace payments back to their original source because blockchains are transparent. On the other hand, XMR is designed to obscure senders and recipients alike through the use of advanced cryptography.The team behind Monero say privacy and security are their biggest priorities, with ease of use and efficiency coming second. It aims to provide protection to all users — irrespective of how technologically competent they are.Overall, XMR aims to allow payments to be made quickly and inexpensively without fear of censorship.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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