Bitcoin Supply Shrinks: Traders Anticipate Gains During Holiday Season

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Dec 13 2025

Should l Buy BTC?

Bitcoin Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin supply on exchanges has reached historic lows, with centralized exchanges holding approximately 2.76 million BTC, down from higher levels earlier this year, indicating reduced sell pressure and strong underlying demand.
Long-term Holder Accumulation: Long-term holders and institutions are withdrawing Bitcoin from exchanges, contributing to a decline in liquid supply and suggesting a bullish market sentiment as they continue to accumulate.
Potential Holiday Rally: Analysts predict a possible holiday season rally for Bitcoin, with targets near $100,000 if current support levels are maintained, driven by the combination of low exchange reserves and steady accumulation.
Market Conditions Favoring Bulls: The current market structure, characterized by reduced BTC on exchanges and bullish accumulation patterns, creates favorable conditions for potential price gains, despite recent minor pullbacks.

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Technical Analysis for BTC

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 3 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	36104.318	48052.159	60374.338	72322.179	84644.358	96592.199	108914.378
Fibonacci	48052.159	57323.307	63051.031	72322.179	81593.327	87321.051	96592.199

About BTC

Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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