HODL Technical Analysis & ETF Price Forecast

Technical Sentiment

Overall Consensus

Sell

Buy

Technical Analysis Consensus

Sell

Buy

Moving Average Consensus

Sell

Buy

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Moving Averages Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is -1.81, suggesting HODL is Strong sell.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) 20-Day simple moving average is 22.86, while VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) share price is $18.48, making it Sell.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) 60-Day simple moving average is 24.53, while VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) share price is $18.48, making it Sell.

Technical Analysis for HODL

Technical Sentiment Analysis for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) As of 2026-02-12, VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) is exhibiting a Strong sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 13 technical signals, shows that 4 indicators are flashing buy, while 9 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for HODL stands at 27.88, which suggests a Buy condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -1.81, providing a Sell signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at 17.23 and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -105.44 further confirm a -5.28 outlook for the stock.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, HODL is trading below its 60-day moving average of $24.53 and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $29.23. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $23.61 and strong support at $17.29. A break above $23.61 could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $17.29 may test the next Fibonacci floor at $14.29.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	10.98	14.29	17.29	20.61	23.61	26.92	29.92
Fibonacci	14.29	16.7	18.2	20.61	23.02	24.51	26.92

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Technical Indicators

2026-02-12

Name	Value
RSI_14	27.88
STOCHk_14_3_3	17.23
STOCHd_14_3_3	22.34
CCI_20	-105.44
AO_5_34	-4.7
MOM_10	-5.28
MACD_12_26_9	-1.81

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 27.88, creating a Buy signal.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Stochastic Oscillator is 17.23, creating a Buy signal.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Stochastic RSI is 22.34, creating a Neutral signal.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -105.44, creating a Buy signal.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Awesome Oscillator is -4.7, creating a Sell signal.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Momentum is -5.28, creating a Sell signal.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) MACD is -1.81, creating a Sell signal.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Moving Average

2026-02-12

Period	Simple	Signal
MA_5	19.37	Sell
MA_10	20.3	Sell
MA_20	22.86	Sell
MA_60	24.53	Sell
MA_200	29.23	Sell
MA_250	28.28	Sell

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) 5-Day simple moving average is 19.37, while VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) share price is $18.48, making it a Sell.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) 10-Day simple moving average is 20.3, while VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) share price is $18.48, making it a Sell.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) 20-Day simple moving average is 22.86, while VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) share price is $18.48, making it a Sell.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) 60-Day simple moving average is 24.53, while VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) share price is $18.48, making it a Sell.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) 200-Day simple moving average is 29.23, while VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) share price is $18.48, making it a Sell.

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) 250-Day simple moving average is 28.28, while VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) share price is $18.48, making it a Sell.