FIHL Should I Buy
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Fidelis Insurance Holdings Ltd (FIHL) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While the stock has shown some positive financial growth trends and hedge funds are increasing their positions, the overall analyst sentiment is mixed to negative, with concerns about the company's exposure to the property business and a softening insurance cycle. Additionally, there are no strong technical or proprietary trading signals to support an immediate buy decision.
The technical indicators are moderately positive. The MACD is above 0 and contracting positively, suggesting mild bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 57.579, and the moving averages show a bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support is at 18.82, and resistance levels are at 20.012 and 20.38, indicating limited upside potential in the short term.
Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 244.72% increase in buying over the last quarter. The company's Q3 2025 financials show strong growth in net income (+29.72% YoY) and EPS (+40.91% YoY).
Analysts have mixed to negative ratings, with Goldman Sachs maintaining a Sell rating and JPMorgan downgrading the stock to Underweight. Concerns about the company's exposure to the property business and a softening insurance cycle are highlighted. Revenue has declined by 4.97% YoY in Q3 2025, and there are no recent news or event-driven catalysts.
In Q3 2025, Fidelis Insurance reported a revenue decline of 4.97% YoY to $646.9M. However, net income increased by 29.72% YoY to $130.5M, and EPS rose by 40.91% YoY to 1.24. Gross margin remained flat at 0%.
Analyst sentiment is mixed to negative. Goldman Sachs has a Sell rating with a price target of $17.50, while Evercore ISI and Keefe Bruyette have more optimistic price targets of $21 and $24, respectively. JPMorgan downgraded the stock to Underweight, citing concerns about the company's exposure to the property business and limited upside in a softer pricing environment.
