ETOR Should I Buy
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Based on the provided data, eToro Group Ltd (ETOR) is not an immediate buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown some positive developments, such as strong Q4 earnings and share buyback programs, the overall financial performance, recent price trends, and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach. The asset may be worth monitoring for better entry points.
The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 60.256, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its resistance level of 32.541, with support at 29.05. Pre-market and regular market changes show a decline of -2.64%, suggesting short-term weakness.
Strong Q4 earnings with adjusted EPS of 71 cents and revenue of $3.88 billion, exceeding Wall Street expectations.
Announcement of a $100 million increase to the share buyback program and a $50 million accelerated share repurchase agreement.
Gross margin increased by 35.42% YoY, indicating improved profitability.
Revenue dropped by -33.73% YoY in Q4 2025, signaling potential challenges in growth.
EPS dropped by -4.17% YoY, showing pressure on earnings.
Analysts have lowered price targets multiple times, citing macroeconomic challenges, weak crypto markets, and increased competition.
Stock has a 40% chance to decline by -3.92% in the next day and -2.47% in the next week.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by -33.73% YoY to $3.87 billion, while net income increased by 16.15% YoY to $68.74 million. EPS dropped by -4.17% YoY to 0.69. Gross margin improved significantly by 35.42% YoY to 5.85, reflecting better cost management despite revenue challenges.
Analyst ratings are mixed. Canaccord and Mizuho maintain a Buy/Outperform rating with reduced price targets of $65 and $60, respectively, citing strong execution despite macro challenges. BofA and Goldman Sachs have Neutral ratings, with price targets of $44 and $35, respectively, highlighting increased competition and weak crypto markets. Overall, analysts recognize long-term growth potential but remain cautious in the short term.
