KKR & Co Inc (KKR) FY2025Q1 Earning Prediction

05/01 04:00:00

Pre-Market

KKR & Co Inc (KKR) is set to release its FY2025Q1 earnings performance on 05/01 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.71B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.14 for the FY2025Q1. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

1.71B

1.77B

+3.26%

EPSBEAT

1.14

1.15

+0.88%

AI Summary

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AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q1

Earnings Date: May 1, 2025

KKR is predicted to beat earnings expectations driven by robust realized performance income growth, active capital deployment, and positive analyst sentiment.

Beat

Last 0 quarters:

4 beats1 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

25%

+8-12%

FRE growth >10% QoQ; ANI beats by >15%.

Beat

50%

+3-7%

In-line FRE/ANI; outperformance in Realized Income.

Neutral

15%

Flat

Fee growth offset by higher expenses.

Miss

-2-4%

Delays in deal closings (OSTTRA, Biotage).

Strong Miss

-5-8%

Macro shocks (capital markets freeze).

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Beat

Accelerated capital deployment (OSTTRA, Karo) and management fee growth from new AUM.

EPS

Beat

Higher Realized Performance Income ($475M, +15% YoY) and cost discipline offsetting fundraising/macro pressures.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

Key Fact Data Drivers:

Realized Performance Income Growth:

KKR reported a 15% YoY increase in realized performance/investment income ($475M in Q1 2025), driven by secondary sales and strategic transactions. This directly addresses concerns about maintaining growth in Realized Performance Income, a critical metric for earnings.

Active Capital Deployment & Fundraising Momentum:

Multiple large acquisitions (OSTTRA [$ 3.1B], Karo Healthcare [$ 2.7B], Fuji Soft, Biotage) and partnerships (EGC, FlowMod) signal strong deployment activity and AUM growth, which should boost Management Fees and Fee-Related Earnings (FRE).
Participation in high-profile deals (Thames Water recapitalization, TikTok U.S. investor consortium) underscores KKR’s fundraising capabilities despite macro headwinds.

Monetization Acceleration:

Sale of Seiyu (to Trial Holdings) and ongoing strategic transactions (e.g., Atlantic Aviation exploration) indicate proactive realization activity, supporting Adjusted Net Income (ANI).

Analyst Sentiment:

While price targets were lowered due to macro risks, analysts (HSBC, Wells Fargo) highlighted KKR’s valuation as attractive post-correction and emphasized long-term growth drivers like the "fundraising super-cycle."

Consensus Context:

Low Expectations: Revenue/EPS estimates were revised downward (- 4.75% revenue, - 7.16% EPS), and the stock underperformed the S&P 500 (- 26.6% vs. - 9.8%). This sets a low bar for a beat.
Offsetting Risks: Recent M&A costs might pressure margins, but realized income and fee growth outweigh these near-term drags.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Equities: Buy KKR shares ahead of earnings. The stock is oversold (-26% since last report), and a beat could trigger a relief rally.
Options:
- Bullish: Buy May 2025 $115 calls (current price: $113.25).
- Hedge: Sell May 2025 $110 puts to capitalize on downside support.
Caution: Monitor macro risks (Fed policy, capital markets activity). Avoid excessive leverage given lingering volatility.

Catalysts: Realized income figures, management commentary on fundraising/deployment pace.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

KKR Transcript

KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) Presents at Goldman Sachs 2025 U.S. Financial Services Conference Transcript

Neutral12-9

KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive11-7

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record fundraising and investment, significant embedded gains, and a robust insurance segment. The Q&A section supports this with positive growth prospects in Asia, strong ROE projections, and confidence in achieving future targets. Despite some uncertainties in management responses, the overall sentiment remains positive, supported by optimistic guidance and strategic growth plans.

KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

Positive7-31

KKR's earnings call highlights strategic growth, strong investment management fees, and expanding global partnerships. Despite some management vagueness, the overall sentiment is positive, with robust financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and strategic positioning in emerging markets and technologies. The Q&A section reinforced confidence in asset-based finance and long-term opportunities in private markets. These factors suggest a positive stock price movement.

KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) Presents at Morgan Stanley US Financials, Payments & CRE Conference Transcript

Neutral6-10

KKR Report

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the KKR & Co Inc FY2025Q1 Earnings Release Date and Time?

KKR & Co Inc (KKR) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q1 earnings report onMay 1, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for KKR & Co Inc FY2025Q1 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 1.71B in revenue and an EPS of 1.14 for KKR & Co Inc's FY2025Q1.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for KKR & Co Inc FY2025Q1 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forKKR & Co Inc's FY2025Q1 earnings, with a prediction date of May 1, 2025. KKR & Co Inc KKR is predicted to beat earnings expectations driven by robust realized performance income growth, active capital deployment, and positive analyst sentiment.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade KKR Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theMay 1, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like KKR & Co Inc FY2025Q1?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!