Geo Group Inc (GEO) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Geo Group Inc (GEO) is set to release its earnings performance on 02/12 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 664.00M and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.25 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
GEO Transcript
The earnings call summary highlights both positive and negative aspects. The company is optimistic about ISAP contract growth and has a significant stock buyback plan, which is positive. However, the government's shutdown and ICE hiring delays are negative factors. Management's reluctance to provide specific guidance and the costly staffing process also weigh on sentiment. Given the market cap and mixed signals, a neutral sentiment is justified.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, including significant revenue growth and debt reduction. Despite some uncertainties in the Q&A, the company shows strategic expansions in ICE facilities and potential revenue increases from idle beds. The positive sentiment is reinforced by the company's focus on share repurchases and debt reduction, alongside optimistic guidance for future earnings, suggesting a likely stock price increase within the 2% to 8% range.
The earnings call indicates a challenging environment with declining sales, particularly in retail and wholesale channels. Despite cost optimization improving EBIT, the macroeconomic environment and sales decline pose significant risks. The Q&A reveals management's vague responses on CapEx and innovation, adding uncertainty. The market cap suggests moderate reaction, but overall, the sentiment leans negative due to sales declines and uncertainties, predicting a stock price decrease of -2% to -8%.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows pressure on margins due to a shift towards GPS devices. The market strategy appears stable with potential revenue growth from new contracts, but guidance remains vague. Expenses are expected to decrease, but the timing of revenue growth is uncertain. The shareholder return plan is delayed until late 2025. The Q&A revealed management's lack of clarity on key issues, like funding allocation and contract timelines, which could concern investors. Given the company's small market cap, the stock price is likely to remain neutral, within -2% to 2%.
GEO Slides
GEO Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Geo Group Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Geo Group Inc (GEO) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onFeb 12, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Geo Group Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 664.00M in revenue and an EPS of 0.00 for Geo Group Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Geo Group Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a forGeo Group Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 12, 2026. Geo Group Inc
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade GEO Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theFeb 12, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Geo Group Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
