Comcast Corp (CMCSA) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Comcast Corp (CMCSA) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 01/29 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 32.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.75 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
Comcast is predicted to miss earnings expectations due to challenges in broadband ARPU, Peacock's uncertain trajectory, and diluted cash flows from the Versant spin-off.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
The Fact Data reveals significant challenges across Comcast's core segments:
- Broadband ARPU Decline: Competitive pressures (AT&T fiber expansion, fixed wireless) and pricing transitions (free wireless line promotions) directly threaten broadband pricing power. Analysts (Oppenheimer, Barclays) highlight margin compression and repricing risks.
- Peacock’s Uncertain Trajectory: While Peacock’s EBITDA improved, the Versant spin-off removes key cable assets, potentially weakening bundled offerings. Strategic focus on NBCU remains unclear post-spin.
- Theme Parks Growth Risks: Bernstein and Scotiabank note worsening competitive dynamics and reduced EBITDA visibility post-Versant spin. While Epic Universe drove past growth, macroeconomic headwinds and industry saturation limit upside.
- Free Cash Flow Pressures: The Versant spin dilutes cash flows, and aggressive investments in broadband upgrades (noted by Citi) offset tax/working capital tailwinds.
Positive offsets include wireless net additions (BofA’s upgrade cites transformative potential) and cost discipline, but these are insufficient to overcome structural headwinds.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Pre-Earnings Play:
Short Stock: Hedge against downside from broadband/Peacock misses.
Buy Put Spreads: Jan 2026 $28/$25 puts to capitalize on bearish momentum.
Post-Earnings Opportunities:
Long Call Leaps: If wireless adds surprise, Jan 2027 $32 calls offer leverage to restructuring upside.
Pairs Trade: Long CMCSA vs. Short PARA (Paramount’s Warner Bros. bid risks).
Rationale: Consensus underestimates broadband pricing erosion and spin-off impacts. Technicals (options skew) reflect elevated downside risk.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
CMCSA Transcript
The earnings call summary shows strong growth across various sectors, including theme parks and studio revenue, alongside a strategic approach to wireless and broadband services. The Q&A section reveals a focus on long-term growth through customer retention and competitive pricing. While there are concerns about ARPU pressure and lack of specific M&A plans, the overall sentiment is positive due to strategic positioning and revenue growth. Given the company's broad market presence and strategic focus, a positive stock price movement in the next two weeks is likely.
CMCSA Slides
CMCSA Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Comcast Corp FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Comcast Corp (CMCSA) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onJan 29, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Comcast Corp FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 32.00B in revenue and an EPS of 1.00 for Comcast Corp's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Comcast Corp FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Miss forComcast Corp's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Jan 29, 2026. Comcast Corp Comcast is predicted to miss earnings expectations due to challenges in broadband ARPU, Peacock's uncertain trajectory, and diluted cash flows from the Versant spin-off.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade CMCSA Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJan 29, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Comcast Corp FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
