Loading...
Blackstone Inc (BX) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 01/29 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 4.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.52 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Blackstone is expected to underperform due to real estate regulatory risks and other headwinds, despite diversification efforts.

Key Negative Catalysts from Fact Data:
Trump's proposed ban on institutional homebuyers directly threatens Blackstone’s single-family home investments, a core AUM growth driver. This could stall new acquisitions (hurting Fee-Earning AUM growth) and trigger asset sales, pressuring realizations and margins.
DOJ antitrust consent decree against LivCor (a BX portfolio company) restricts algorithmic pricing practices, potentially reducing rental income and FRE margins in real estate.
Infrastructure/credit growth (e.g., Willis Lease partnership, energy transition deals) is offset by weakness in corporate private equity due to slowing real estate appreciation and broader macroeconomic uncertainty.
Analyst skepticism (Wells Fargo downgrade, UBS Neutral rating) highlights risks to earnings from slower wealth channel flows and valuation pressures.
Key Positive Catalysts from Fact Data:
$1B loan acquisition with Harvest Commercial Capital and $5B Phoenix Financial partnership support growth in fee-earning AUM for credit strategies.
MacLean Power Systems acquisition strengthens infrastructure exposure, aligning with grid-hardening trends.
Balanced View: While Blackstone is offsetting real estate risks via infrastructure/credit growth, the sheer scale of its real estate exposure (~30% of AUM) and immediate policy/regulatory headwinds create downside risks to consensus expectations.
Rationale: Blackstone’s near-term risks (policy/regulatory) outweigh its diversification efforts, creating asymmetric downside.
The earnings call summary presents a generally positive outlook with strong growth prospects in multiple sectors, optimistic guidance, and strategic expansions. The Q&A section reaffirms these prospects, with management addressing concerns and providing optimistic projections for fee growth, margin expansion, and market opportunities. Despite some unclear responses, the overall sentiment remains positive, supported by anticipated product launches and market recoveries. These factors, combined with a focus on infrastructure and energy investments, suggest a likely positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
The earnings call and Q&A reveal strong financial performance, strategic partnerships, and growth plans. Despite some concerns, such as the BCRED dividend cut, management's responses indicate resilience and optimism. The positive outlook for fee-related earnings, M&A activity, and real estate recovery support a positive sentiment. The new partnership with Legal & General and the focus on private wealth and defined contribution plans further strengthen the growth narrative. Overall, the sentiment is positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase over the next two weeks.
Blackstone Inc (BX) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onJan 29, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
Analysts' consensus predicts 4.00B in revenue and an EPS of 2.00 for Blackstone Inc's FY2025Q4.
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Miss forBlackstone Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Jan 29, 2026. Blackstone Inc Blackstone is expected to underperform due to real estate regulatory risks and other headwinds, despite diversification efforts.
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJan 29, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
Each prediction includes a detailed rationale, key indicator forecasts, and scenario probabilities to guide your trades. For a *Beat*, consider buying call options or shares; for a *Miss*, explore puts or hedging strategies. The prediction card provides actionable suggestions, like specific option strikes or hedging tips, tailored to your risk tolerance. Trade smart and turn insights into profits!