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01/10 15:30
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Arm Holdings PLC (ARM) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 05/07 04:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.23B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.53 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
ARM is expected to underperform in Q4 due to significant headwinds including competition from RISC-V, antitrust litigation, and slower-than-expected adoption of its Armv9 architecture.
The Fact Data highlights significant headwinds that are likely to pressure ARM’s Q4 results:
China Risks & RISC-V Competition: China’s policy to boost RISC-V chip adoption directly threatens ARM’s licensing and royalty revenue. Analysts (UBS, Barclays) cite China share loss as a key concern.
Antitrust Litigation: Qualcomm’s antitrust campaign against ARM could delay licensing agreements and raise regulatory uncertainty, impacting near-term licensing revenue.
Slow Armv9 Adoption: Morgan Stanley and BofA note slower-than-expected ARMv9 adoption, critical for royalty growth. ARM’s CPU market share in data centers is projected to grow to 50% by year-end, but this acceleration may not materialize in Q
License Agreement Uncertainty: Failed negotiations with Alphawave and delayed Qualcomm bids suggest challenges in securing high-value licensing deals.
Lowered Guidance Anticipation: Wells Fargo expects initial FY2026 revenue guidance to fall below consensus (+22% YoY), signaling caution.
While ARM’s Malaysia partnership and data center growth are long-term positives, they are unlikely to offset near-term pressures.
Bearish Plays Ahead of Earnings:
Short Stock: ARM’s technicals (down 30% since last earnings) suggest weak momentum.
Buy May 115 Put Options: Hedge against downside if EPS/revenue miss.
Avoid Long Calls: High China/antitrust risks limit upside surprise potential.
Post-Earnings Opportunities:
If ARM guides FY2026 revenue above +22% YoY, consider long exposure via calls.
Monitor RISC-V adoption trends in China for structural risks.
The earnings call summary reveals strong financial performance with significant year-on-year growth in revenue, operating income, and EPS. The Q&A section highlights strategic positioning in the AI market, partnerships with major tech companies, and a promising acquisition. Despite some vague responses, the overall sentiment is positive due to robust demand, improved margins, and optimistic guidance. The strong growth in royalties and licensing, alongside strategic investments in R&D and AI, further supports a positive outlook. The lack of market cap data suggests a potentially strong stock price reaction.
The earnings call summary is generally positive, with record high revenues, strong royalty growth, and optimistic guidance. The Q&A section reveals some uncertainties, particularly around specific strategy details and market entry, but overall sentiment remains positive due to strong market positioning and growth prospects. The Q1 results exceeded expectations, and the guidance suggests continued growth. The lack of full-year guidance is a minor concern, but not enough to overshadow the positive indicators. Therefore, the stock price is likely to see a positive movement in the short term.
Arm's earnings call indicates strong financial performance with record high revenue, significant licensing growth, and optimistic guidance for royalty revenue. The strategic initiatives, including AI partnerships and custom silicon demand, are positive indicators. While there are risks related to regulatory issues and economic factors, the company's strong market position and growth in key sectors like automotive and hyperscalers mitigate these concerns. The lack of a share repurchase program is a minor negative, but overall, the financial health and strategic direction suggest a positive stock price movement.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record revenue, royalty, and licensing growth. Positive guidance for Q4 and fiscal year 2025, along with strategic partnerships and project developments, indicate robust business momentum. Despite some concerns about visibility and lack of full-year guidance, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by optimistic Q&A responses and strong market demand. The absence of a share buyback program is a minor negative, but not enough to offset the positive outlook.
Arm Holdings PLC (ARM) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onMay 7, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
Analysts' consensus predicts 1.23B in revenue and an EPS of 0.53 for Arm Holdings PLC's FY2025Q4.
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Miss forArm Holdings PLC's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of May 7, 2025. Arm Holdings PLC ARM is expected to underperform in Q4 due to significant headwinds including competition from RISC-V, antitrust litigation, and slower-than-expected adoption of its Armv9 architecture.
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theMay 7, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
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