Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) is set to release its earnings performance on 02/23 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 2.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.43 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
AAP Transcript
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: strong EPS improvement and positive gross margin outlook are offset by negative free cash flow and complex turnaround plans. The Q&A highlights uncertainty in achieving margin goals and inflation impact, despite stable supply chain finance. Market cap suggests moderate stock reaction, leading to a neutral prediction.
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal several concerns: significant CapEx needs, uncertain margin expansion, and potential DIY consumer elasticity issues. While there are optimistic guidance points, such as improving trends and strong Pro initiatives, the negative free cash flow guidance and CapEx requirements overshadow these positives. The market is likely to react negatively, especially given the mid-cap size, resulting in a predicted stock price movement of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
The company's financial performance shows a decline in net sales and gross profit, with a significant operating loss. The Q&A reveals management's reluctance to provide clear guidance, indicating uncertainty. Despite plans for store optimization and new openings, the negative free cash flow and reduced guidance for 2025 suggest financial strain. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to these factors, leading to a likely negative stock price movement in the short term.
The earnings call reveals a mixed but generally negative outlook. The company reaffirmed guidance but reported a 7% YoY net sales decrease and significant free cash flow negativity. Despite cost-saving measures and expected gross margin improvements, the current financial performance shows declining margins and widening losses. The Q&A section highlights uncertainties in inflation and lack of clarity on store closures' impact. Given these factors and the company's mid-cap status, the stock is likely to experience a negative reaction, with potential declines in the range of -2% to -8%.
AAP Slides
AAP Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Advance Auto Parts Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onFeb 23, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Advance Auto Parts Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 2.00B in revenue and an EPS of 0.00 for Advance Auto Parts Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Advance Auto Parts Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a forAdvance Auto Parts Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 23, 2026. Advance Auto Parts Inc
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade AAP Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theFeb 23, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Advance Auto Parts Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
