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The earnings call summary and Q&A session present a mixed picture. Basic financial performance and liquidity position are strong, but concerns about dividend sustainability and leverage persist. Management's cautious approach to shifting upmarket and uncertainty in market conditions add to neutral sentiment. While strong investment commitments and low non-accrual rates are positive, the lack of clear guidance on tariffs and asset retention, combined with potential earnings decline due to rate cuts, balance the outlook. Without a market cap, the stock's sensitivity to these factors remains uncertain, leading to a neutral prediction.
Net Investment Income (NII) $0.83 per share, up 14% year-over-year, highest dollar amount since inception.
Total Investment Income $189 million, up $54 million or 18% year-over-year, driven by increased interest income.
Net Asset Value (NAV) per share $27.39, flat quarter-over-quarter, supported by $0.06 per share of excess earnings to dividend and $1.01 from share issuance, offset by $0.17 of unrealized losses.
Weighted Average Interest Rate on Borrowings 5.01%, down from 5.17% last quarter, due to optimization of cost of capital and issuance of new bonds at tighter levels.
Repayment Rate 28% of the portfolio at fair value, up from 6% in the prior quarter, due to larger repayments during the quarter.
Debt Maturities $2.2 billion within the next two years, with an overall weighted average maturity of 3.5 years.
Total Liquidity $3.4 billion of cash and undrawn debt available to borrow at low financing costs.
Weighted Average Yield on Performing Debt Investments 10.2%, down from 10.4% in the fourth quarter.
Annualized Distribution Yield 11.2%, with distribution of $0.77 per share covered by NII by 8%.
Investment Commitments Over $750 million, sixth consecutive quarter above this threshold.
Outstanding Debt $7.4 billion, with a diverse liability profile including 38% in unsecured bonds.
Non-Accrual Rate 0.3% at cost, significantly below the average of traded BDC peers at 2.7%.
Equity Realization $7 million gain from a $2.9 million equity investment, contributing positively to NAV.
Equity Realization: Realized equity in frontline, with a $2.9 million investment yielding over $7 million in gains.
Investment Commitments: Over $750 million of investment commitments in Q1, maintaining a consistent level for six consecutive quarters.
New Borrowers: Added 14 new borrowers to the portfolio while exiting six positions, netting a total of 284 companies.
Debt Issuance: Issued $500 million of new debt at a coupon of 5.3%, the tightest spread compared to traded BDC peers in 2025.
Net Investment Income: Net investment income of $189 million or $0.83 per share, up over 14% year over year.
Portfolio Investments: Total portfolio investments at fair value reached $12.8 billion, a 20% increase year-over-year.
Credit Quality: Credit quality remains strong with only 0.3% of investments on non-accrual at cost.
Value Creation Program: The BXCI value creation program has created $5 billion in illustrative value for portfolio companies since inception.
Focus on First Lien Senior Secured Loans: 98% of investments are in first lien senior secured loans, emphasizing a defensive investment strategy.
Tariff Impact: Uncertainty around tariffs and their potential impact on economic growth and inflation has affected investor sentiment. There is a potential material credit impact to a relatively small group of portfolio companies due to tariffs.
Market Volatility: Despite near-term market volatility, the company is positioned to take advantage of opportunities that arise. Elevated repayments were noted, which could indicate a trend of muted repayment volumes in periods of public market volatility.
Credit Quality: While credit quality remains strong, there is a slight increase in leverage and a small percentage of investments marked below 80, indicating potential risks in the portfolio.
Economic Environment: The broader economic environment remains uncertain, which could affect future performance and investment opportunities.
Repayment Rates: The annualized repayment rate of 28% of the portfolio at fair value is significantly higher than the previous quarter, indicating increased repayment activity that could impact future investment strategies.
Investment Commitments: The company has been building investment firepower amidst market uncertainty, but the increased repayments may limit future investment opportunities.
Investment Firepower: Building investment firepower to take advantage of opportunities amidst market volatility, including issuing $500 million of new debt at a coupon of 5.3%.
Value Creation Program: Utilizing the BXCI value creation program to enhance revenue and lower costs for portfolio companies, creating $5 billion in illustrative value since inception.
Portfolio Management: Maintaining a focus on first lien senior secured loans, with 98% of investments in this category, to mitigate risks associated with market volatility.
Net Investment Income: Reported net investment income of $0.83 per share, representing a 12.1% annualized return on equity.
Distribution Yield: Maintained a distribution of $0.77 per share, representing an 11.2% annualized distribution yield.
Future Deal Activity: Positioning for an anticipated ramp-up in deal activity in the latter half of 2025.
Debt Maturities: $2.2 billion of debt maturities within the next two years, with a weighted average maturity of 3.5 years.
Cost of Debt: Overall cost of debt at 5.01%, among the lowest across traded BDC peers.
Dividend per share: $0.77 per share, representing an 11.2% annualized distribution yield.
Coverage of dividend: The distribution was covered by net investment income per share by 8%.
Share repurchase program: None
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance and strategic positioning. The company is focused on maintaining dividend sustainability, cost optimization, and expanding its portfolio with high-quality deals. Despite an increase in LTV ratios, management remains confident in their capital structure. Positive macroeconomic conditions and opportunities in AI investments further support a positive outlook. The company’s strategic focus on less capital-intensive sectors and robust liquidity position are additional positives. The overall sentiment is positive, with a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call reveals strong financial metrics, including a 17% increase in portfolio investments and 11% EBITDA growth. Despite slight increases in cost of debt, the company maintains low rates compared to peers. The Q&A highlights management's cautious optimism, with plans to adjust dividends based on long-term signals and expectations of increased deal activity. Concerns about Medallia's underperformance are noted, but overall, the positive financial performance and strategic positioning suggest a positive stock reaction.
The earnings call reveals mixed signals. While EPS exceeded expectations and a share repurchase program was announced, concerns about tariffs, economic risks, and market volatility remain. The Q&A session highlighted uncertainties in dividend coverage and vague responses regarding tariffs' impact. The positive elements, such as the EPS beat and strategic investments in resilient sectors, are balanced by these uncertainties, leading to a neutral sentiment. Without clear guidance or a new partnership announcement, the stock price is likely to remain stable in the short term.
The earnings call summary and Q&A session present a mixed picture. Basic financial performance and liquidity position are strong, but concerns about dividend sustainability and leverage persist. Management's cautious approach to shifting upmarket and uncertainty in market conditions add to neutral sentiment. While strong investment commitments and low non-accrual rates are positive, the lack of clear guidance on tariffs and asset retention, combined with potential earnings decline due to rate cuts, balance the outlook. Without a market cap, the stock's sensitivity to these factors remains uncertain, leading to a neutral prediction.
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