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News

8.0

01-13aastocks

WYNN MACAU to Increase Salaries by Up to 4.5% in March

6.5

01-13aastocks

UBS Favors GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT and WYNN MACAU; MO GGR Remains Steady in Early January

3.0

01-09aastocks

M Stanley's APxJ Focus List: A Research Overview (Table)

6.5

01-09aastocks

Citi Projects 13% Year-Over-Year Increase in Casino Industry EBITDA Last Quarter, with GALAXY ENT Leading the Gains

4.0

01-09aastocks

<Research>CLSA Lowers WYNN MACAU's Target Price to HKD8.2, Increases GALAXY ENT's Target Price to HKD49.5

Money Flow

Over the past 66 trading days, overall net money flow is -33.35M, with retail investors contributing -465.85K and major investors adding -29.33M.

Net Buy $ Volume

Net Sell $ Volume

Goldman Sachs

Neutral

downgrade

2025-11-10

Reason

The analyst rating for WYNN MACAU remains at Neutral, with a target price slightly reduced from HKD7.5 to HKD7.4. This rating is influenced by the company's strong performance in the VIP segment, which contributed to a significant increase in property EBITDA. However, concerns about the relatively low hold rate in the mass-market segment and the potential for GGR growth to lag behind industry levels have tempered the outlook. Despite management's optimism about the high-end market and overall gaming volume growth, these factors have led to a cautious stance from analysts.

Goldman Sachs

Neutral

Price Target

2025-11-10

downgrade

The analyst rating for WYNN MACAU remains at Neutral, with a target price slightly reduced from HKD7.5 to HKD7.4. This rating is influenced by the company's strong performance in the VIP segment, which contributed to a significant increase in property EBITDA. However, concerns about the relatively low hold rate in the mass-market segment and the potential for GGR growth to lag behind industry levels have tempered the outlook. Despite management's optimism about the high-end market and overall gaming volume growth, these factors have led to a cautious stance from analysts.

CICC

Outperform

maintain

2025-11-10

Reason

The analyst rating for WYNN MACAU (01128.HK) was kept at "Outperform" due to the company's strong financial performance in its 3Q25 results, which showed a net revenue of US$1.001 billion (up 15% YoY and 13% QoQ) and an adjusted property EBITDA of US$308 million (up 17% YoY and 22% QoQ). This performance indicates a recovery to 93% of the 3Q19 revenue level and 102% of the 3Q19 EBITDA level, slightly exceeding market expectations. Additionally, the stock is trading at a projected EV/EBITDA of 7.6x for 2026, which supports the broker's decision to raise the target price by 4% to $7.9 based on valuation adjustments, implying a forecasted EV/EBITDA of 8.4x for 2025.

CICC

Outperform

Price Target

2025-11-10

maintain

The analyst rating for WYNN MACAU (01128.HK) was kept at "Outperform" due to the company's strong financial performance in its 3Q25 results, which showed a net revenue of US$1.001 billion (up 15% YoY and 13% QoQ) and an adjusted property EBITDA of US$308 million (up 17% YoY and 22% QoQ). This performance indicates a recovery to 93% of the 3Q19 revenue level and 102% of the 3Q19 EBITDA level, slightly exceeding market expectations. Additionally, the stock is trading at a projected EV/EBITDA of 7.6x for 2026, which supports the broker's decision to raise the target price by 4% to $7.9 based on valuation adjustments, implying a forecasted EV/EBITDA of 8.4x for 2025.

Morgan Stanley

Overweight

maintain

$21 / $18 / $7.8

2025-10-02

Reason

The analyst rating from Morgan Stanley is based on the following reasons: 1. Missed Expectations: Macau's Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) for September was MOP18.3 billion, which represented a 6% year-over-year increase but fell short of market expectations and Morgan Stanley's forecast of 9%. This shortfall was attributed to a typhoon that resulted in a 33-hour casino closure. 2. Future Growth Expectations: For October, Morgan Stanley anticipates an 8% year-over-year growth in GGR, driven by strong demand during the National Day Golden Week holiday. However, they also note that this growth is against a higher base, indicating that achieving double-digit growth may be necessary to positively impact share price performance. 3. Positive EBITDA Outlook: Despite facing cost pressures, Morgan Stanley projects that the EBITDA for the gaming industry in Macau will still grow over 10% year-over-year in the third quarter of 2025. 4. Stock Ratings: Morgan Stanley has rated SANDS CHINA LTD, MGM CHINA, and WYNN MACAU as Overweight, with target prices set at $21, $18, and $7.8, respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on these stocks despite the current challenges.

Morgan Stanley

Overweight

Price Target

$21 / $18 / $7.8

2025-10-02

maintain

The analyst rating from Morgan Stanley is based on the following reasons: 1. Missed Expectations: Macau's Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) for September was MOP18.3 billion, which represented a 6% year-over-year increase but fell short of market expectations and Morgan Stanley's forecast of 9%. This shortfall was attributed to a typhoon that resulted in a 33-hour casino closure. 2. Future Growth Expectations: For October, Morgan Stanley anticipates an 8% year-over-year growth in GGR, driven by strong demand during the National Day Golden Week holiday. However, they also note that this growth is against a higher base, indicating that achieving double-digit growth may be necessary to positively impact share price performance. 3. Positive EBITDA Outlook: Despite facing cost pressures, Morgan Stanley projects that the EBITDA for the gaming industry in Macau will still grow over 10% year-over-year in the third quarter of 2025. 4. Stock Ratings: Morgan Stanley has rated SANDS CHINA LTD, MGM CHINA, and WYNN MACAU as Overweight, with target prices set at $21, $18, and $7.8, respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on these stocks despite the current challenges.

Valuation Metrics

Forward PE

N/A

5Y Average PE

4.64

Current PE

11.53

Overvalued PE

28.11

Undervalued PE

-18.82

Forward EV/EBITDA

N/A

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

-40.84

Current EV/EBITDA

8.28

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

228.56

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

-310.25

Forward PS

5Y Average PS

2.06

Current PS

1.05

Overvalued PS

3.54

Undervalued PS

0.59

Financials

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