BHP Reports Record Iron Ore Production, Increases Investment to $8.4 Billion
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
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Source: seekingalpha
- Record Iron Ore Production: BHP achieved record-high iron ore production and shipments for H1 fiscal 2026 (July-December 2025), demonstrating strong performance in the global market despite price pressures from ongoing contract negotiations.
- Contract Negotiation Dynamics: The company is negotiating annual contract terms with China Mineral Resources Group (CMRG) to optimize product placement and maintain operational flexibility, reflecting sustained demand and policy support for commodities in China.
- Investment Plan Adjustment: BHP increased its total investment estimate for the Jansen stage 1 project from $7-7.4 billion to $8.4 billion, indicating a strong focus on its copper growth pipeline and strategic positioning for future copper production.
- Impact of Rising Copper Prices: With copper prices up 32% and iron ore prices 4% year-on-year, BHP's operational performance remains robust, as CEO Mike Henry highlighted the safety records achieved in a positive commodity price environment.
Analyst Views on BHP
Wall Street analysts forecast BHP stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BHP is 54.88 USD with a low forecast of 48.00 USD and a high forecast of 68.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 66.030
Low
48.00
Averages
54.88
High
68.00
Current: 66.030
Low
48.00
Averages
54.88
High
68.00
About BHP
BHP Group Limited is an Australia-based resources company. The Company is a producer of commodities, including iron ore, copper, nickel, potash and metallurgical (steelmaking) coal. It is focused on offering a range of resources, which provides copper for renewable energy; nickel for electric vehicles; potash for sustainable farming, and iron ore and metallurgical coal for the steel needed for global infrastructure and the energy transition. Its segments include Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal. Its Copper segment is engaged in mining of copper, silver, zinc, molybdenum, uranium, and gold. Its Iron Ore segment is engaged in mining of iron ore. Its Coal segment is engaged in mining of metallurgical coal and energy coal. The Company is also focused on operating Olympic Dam, Prominent Hill, and Carrapateena underground copper-gold mines in South Australia. Its operations are situated in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, South America, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.





