AXT Inc Updates Revenue Guidance Amid Export Challenges
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 15 Jan 26
Source: SeekingAlpha
AXT Inc's stock surged by 17.42% as it crossed above the 5-day SMA, reflecting strong investor interest. The company updated its Q4 2025 revenue guidance to $23.5 million, primarily due to fewer export control permits for indium phosphide issued by China's Ministry of Commerce, which has hindered the fulfillment of customer orders. Despite these challenges, CEO Morris Young noted robust customer demand for AXT's products, indicating the company is in the early stages of a multi-year growth cycle driven by AI infrastructure and high-speed optical connectivity.
Analyst Views on AXTI
Wall Street analysts forecast AXTI stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AXTI is 16.20 USD with a low forecast of 7.00 USD and a high forecast of 26.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 17.200
Low
7.00
Averages
16.20
High
26.00
Current: 17.200
Low
7.00
Averages
16.20
High
26.00
About AXTI
AXT, Inc. is a material science company that develops and manufactures high-performance compound and single element semiconductor wafer substrates comprising indium phosphide (InP), gallium arsenide (GaAs) and germanium (Ge). Its wafer substrates are used when a typical silicon wafer substrate cannot meet the performance requirements of a semiconductor or optoelectronic device. It has two product lines: specialty material substrates and raw materials integral to these substrates. Its InP is a semiconductor wafer substrate used in broadband and fiber optic applications, 5G infrastructure and data center connectivity. Its semi-conducting GaAs substrates are used to create opto-electronic products, including high brightness light emitting diodes that are often used to backlight wireless handsets and LCD televisions and for automotive, signage, and lighting applications. Its Ge substrates are used in applications, such as solar cells for space and terrestrial photovoltaic applications.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.




