Polymarket Refuses $10.5M Payout After U.S. Capture of Maduro
Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert
- Payout Controversy: Polymarket's refusal to pay approximately $10.5 million in wagers has sparked significant backlash from traders, who accuse the platform of arbitrarily redefining contract terms to avoid large payouts, undermining market integrity.
- Contract Definition Dispute: The platform contends that the U.S. capture of Maduro does not meet the definition of an “invasion,” despite the operation being termed Operation Absolute Resolve, as it failed to establish control over Venezuelan territory.
- Insider Trading Allegations: Reports of an anonymous trader profiting approximately $436,000 by betting on Maduro's removal just days before the operation have raised concerns about potential insider trading, prompting lawmakers to propose legislation banning government officials from trading in such markets.
- Market Integrity Issues: The incident highlights growing tensions around contract interpretation, market integrity, and insider risks in prediction markets, with millions of dollars at stake and lawmakers now involved, making this dispute a focal point in broader discussions about the operation of such platforms during real-world geopolitical events.
About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon
Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.





