Kalshi Predicts 57% Impeachment Probability for Trump in 2025-2029 Term
Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert
Source: Coinmarketcap
Updated: Jan 11 2026- Rising Impeachment Odds: Kalshi reports a 57% probability of Trump's impeachment during his 2025-2029 term, indicating heightened political risk perceptions that could impact investor confidence and market stability.
- Significant Political Impact: With a projected 72% chance of Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms, the correlation between impeachment expectations and political shifts suggests a potential increase in impeachment likelihood.
- Increased Market Volatility: Political events are beginning to influence cryptocurrency markets, and while Bitcoin's performance remains relatively stable, the uncertainty surrounding political developments may lead to short-term market fluctuations affecting investor decisions.
- Surge in Trading Volume: The trading volume of event contracts related to impeachment has surged, reflecting market focus on Trump's legal challenges and midterm outcomes, highlighting investor sensitivity to future political dynamics.
About the author
Ohris M. Greyoon
Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.
