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  5. ISM Manufacturing Index Indicates Potential for Bitcoin Bull Market to Continue Through Late 2025

ISM Manufacturing Index Indicates Potential for Bitcoin Bull Market to Continue Through Late 2025

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert
Source: Coinmarketcap
Updated: Oct 26 2025
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  • Bitcoin and ISM Manufacturing PMI Correlation: The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index has historically aligned with Bitcoin's market cycle peaks, suggesting the current bull run may extend longer than usual. Analysts indicate that a sustained PMI above 50 could correlate with stronger Bitcoin performance.

  • Extended Cycle Timeline for Bitcoin: Predictions now suggest Bitcoin's peak valuations may occur between September 2025 and March 2026, allowing for gradual capital accumulation and reducing risks associated with shorter market cycles. Long-term holders show significant room for appreciation before reaching overvaluation.

  • Impact of Manufacturing Weakness on Bitcoin: Persistent weakness in manufacturing activity highlights structural challenges in the US economy, with the ISM report indicating that PMI contraction does not necessarily predict a recession. This ongoing contraction may lead to prolonged accommodative monetary policy, benefiting Bitcoin's price.

  • Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin: Several US states are planning to allocate public funds for Bitcoin purchases, reflecting growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin as a treasury asset. This trend aligns with Bitcoin's increasing correlation with the S&P 500, indicating its shift towards being a macro-sensitive investment.

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About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon
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Ohris M. Greyoon
Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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