Bitcoin Year-End Outlook: Needs 6.24% Rally to Close Positive
Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert
Source: Coinmarketcap
Updated: Dec 28 2025- Year-End Warning: Bitcoin needs a 6.24% increase to close 2025 positively, and failing to achieve this could mark its first annual loss post-halving, impacting investor confidence and potentially leading to capital outflows.
- Price Volatility Analysis: After peaking above $125,000 in October, Bitcoin has since declined approximately 30%, forming a support level around $80,000 in November, raising concerns about the end of the bull market, which may affect future investment decisions.
- Macroeconomic Impact: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy continues to exert pressure on Bitcoin's price, particularly following three 25 basis point rate cuts, with increasing uncertainty around future policy potentially leading to further declines in Bitcoin's value.
- Technical Challenges: Bitcoin has fallen below its 365-day moving average since November, breaking its earlier upward trend, and this technical weakness heightens market concerns about its future performance, necessitating close monitoring of macroeconomic developments.
About the author
Ohris M. Greyoon
Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.
